23 August 2026, 00:30 UTC

Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew Major League Soccer prediction & result

Geodis Park, Nashville
Full time3 – 2

Final score: Nashville SC 3-2 Columbus Crew.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Nashville SC, 30% draw, 30% Columbus Crew — fair odds of 2.50, 3.33 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Nashville SC at 40%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Nashville SC0%Draw4%Columbus Crew96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽H. Mukhtarassist: D. Lovitz
27'
Daniel Lovitz
39'
49'
Cesar Ruvalcaba
58'
⚽M. Farsiassist: M. Amundsen
59'
🔁M. Farsiout: B. Lennon
59'
🔁C. Adamsout: J. Martinez
🔁D. Lovitzout: R. Baker-Whiting
62'
🔁P. Yazbekout: E. Tagseth
62'
🔁A. Muylout: E. Saad
62'
68'
⚽A. Gomes
76'
🔁A. Gomesout: D. Chambost
84'
🔁B. Mendezout: D. Gazdag
84'
🔁T. Habrouneout: L. Giaccone
🔁M. Corcoranout: B. Acosta
88'
🔁C. Espinozaout: S. Mohammed
88'
⚽R. Baker-Whitingassist: H. Mukhtar
90'
⚽A. Najarassist: J. Palacios
90'

Match stats — Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew

58%Possession42%
13Shots3
7On target2
8Corners1
0.67xG0.3

Goals against chances

Nashville SC3 from 0.67 xGmore than the chances were worth
Columbus Crew2 from 0.30 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Nashville SC 4-4-2
  • 99B. SchwakeG
  • 31A. NajarD
  • 4J. PalaciosD
  • 3M. WoledziD
  • 2D. LovitzD
  • 7C. EspinozaM
  • 8P. YazbekM
  • 16M. CorcoranM
  • 19A. MuylM
  • 10H. MukhtarF
  • 9S. SurridgeF
Substitutes
  • 1J. WillisG
  • 5J. MaherD
  • 22J. BauerD
  • 27R. Baker-WhitingD
  • 6B. AcostaM
  • 20E. TagsethM
  • 37A. QasemF
  • 11E. SaadF
  • 14S. MohammedM
Coach: Brian Callaghan
Columbus Crew 4-4-2
  • 28P. SchulteG
  • 31S. MoreiraD
  • 12C. RuvalcabaD
  • 25S. ZawadzkiD
  • 18M. AmundsenD
  • 23M. FarsiM
  • 20A. GomesM
  • 50T. KarumanchiM
  • 16T. HabrouneM
  • 10B. MendezF
  • 46C. AdamsF
Substitutes
  • 1N. HagenG
  • 2A. HerreraD
  • 55C. RogersD
  • 8D. GazdagM
  • 11B. LennonD
  • 7D. ChambostM
  • 14A. SejdicM
  • 77J. MartinezF
  • 26L. GiacconeM
Coach: Laurent Courtois

Form going into Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew

Nashville SC

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0away to New York Red Bulls19 August 2026
  • W4-1Inter Miami16 August 2026
  • D2-2away to DC United1 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Orlando City SC25 July 2026
  • W1-0CF Montreal23 July 2026

Columbus Crew

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2CF Montreal19 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Charlotte15 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Inter Miami1 August 2026
  • W2-1FC Cincinnati25 July 2026
  • L1-2New York City FC22 July 2026

What these results say

  • Nashville SC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Columbus Crew scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Columbus Crew conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for Columbus Crew had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Nashville SC3423837125+4677
7Columbus Crew34145155952+747

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew

  • 14 March 2026Columbus Crew 0–1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
  • 11 February 2026Nashville SC 1–0 Columbus CrewFriendlies Clubs
  • 17 July 2025Nashville SC 3–0 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
  • 29 May 2025Columbus Crew 2–2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
  • 3 July 2024Columbus Crew 2–0 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
  • 31 March 2024Nashville SC 2–2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: Nashville SC and Columbus Crew

Nashville SC

GoalsAssists

  • S. Surridge211
  • H. Mukhtar167

Columbus Crew

No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 59 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Nashville SC beat Columbus Crew 3–2. The model had made a win for Nashville SC its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: H. Mukhtar 27' for Nashville SC, M. Farsi 58' for Columbus Crew, A. Gomes 68' for Columbus Crew, R. Baker-Whiting 90' for Nashville SC, A. Najar 90' for Nashville SC. On expected goals it finished 0.67–0.30.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.