Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Sturm Graz 1-0 SCR Altach.
Before kick-off the model made it 59% Sturm Graz, 20% draw, 21% SCR Altach — fair odds of 1.69, 5.00 and 4.76.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Austrian Bundesliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Sturm Graz at 59%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 53Daniil KhudyakovG
- 28Jurgen HeilD
- 21Petar PetrovićD
- 5Albert VallciD
- 18Emran SogloD
- 43Jacob HödlM
- 39Luca WeinhandlM
- 4Jon Gorenc StankovićM
- 19Simon SeidlM
- 11Axel KayomboF
- 44Nelson WeiperF
- 20Seedy JattaF
- 17Szymon WłodarczykF
- 23Arjan MalićD
- 27Luís BalboD
- 15Gizo MamageishviliM
- 22Ammar HelacG
- 30Paul KollerD
- 40Julian HalwachsM
- 26Belmin BeganovićF
- 1Dejan StojanovićG
- 27Filip MilojevicD
- 23Benedikt ZechD
- 17Lukas JägerD
- 29Niklas NiehoffM
- 6Vesel DemakuM
- 8Mike-Steven BähreM
- 37Benjamin BöckleM
- 19Srđan HrstićF
- 10Ousmane DiawaraF
- 18Patrick GreilF
- 9Marko RagužF
- 20Erkin YalcinF
- 21Jakob BrandtnerD
- 22Yanis EisschillM
- 7Denizcan CosgunM
- 31Daniel AntoschG
- 4Henrique BellD
- 16Rassa RahmaniD
- 24Salif TietiettaM
Form going into Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach
Sturm Graz
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Fenerbahçe11 August 2026
- W2-0away to TSV Hartberg8 August 2026
- L0-2away to Fenerbahçe5 August 2026
- D1-1away to WSG Wattens1 August 2026
- W2-0away to Heart of Midlothian28 July 2026
SCR Altach
All competitions we cover
- W3-1WSG Wattens7 August 2026
- L0-1away to Rapid Vienna2 August 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 5 matches for Sturm Graz had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Austria Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sturm Graz | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 17 | +5 | 19 |
| 9 | SCR Altach | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach
- 8 March 2026Sturm Graz 2–0 SCR AltachBundesliga
- 1 February 2026SCR Altach 3–1 Sturm GrazCup
- 5 October 2025SCR Altach 0–2 Sturm GrazBundesliga
- 30 November 2024SCR Altach 1–1 Sturm GrazBundesliga
- 24 August 2024Sturm Graz 2–1 SCR AltachBundesliga
Leading scorers: Sturm Graz and SCR Altach
Sturm Graz
GoalsAssists
- O. Diakité90
SCR Altach
No player in Bundesliga's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Sturm Graz beat SCR Altach 1–0. The model had made a win for Sturm Graz its most likely outcome, at 59%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: S. Jatta 78' for Sturm Graz. On expected goals it finished 1.52–1.21.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.