16 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

TSV Hartberg vs Austria Vienna Bundesliga prediction & result

Stadion Hartberg, Hartberg
Full time0 – 2

Final score: TSV Hartberg 0-2 Austria Vienna.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% TSV Hartberg, 28% draw, 27% Austria Vienna — fair odds of 2.22, 3.57 and 3.70.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

TSV Hartberg at 45%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

TSV Hartberg0%Draw1%Austria Vienna99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

A. Gattermayer
14'
33'
⚽D. Nnodimassist: Lee Tae-Seok
H. Coulibaly
45+1'
59'
K. Boateng
61'
🔁K. Boatengout: J. Eggestein
61'
🔁S. Saljicout: M. Fischer
61'
🔁F. Wustingerout: V. Markovic
🔁J. Karnerout: C. Onuoha
64'
🔁H. Coulibalyout: F. Gerstl
64'
🔁T. Kainzout: N. Feldhofer
75'
🔁M. Hoffmannout: A. Urrutia
75'
75'
🔁D. Nnodimout: P. Maybach
76'
⚽J. Hettwerassist: M. Fischer
🔁O. Lukicout: Y. Diarra
84'
84'
🔁J. Hettwerout: J. Feddersen

Match stats — TSV Hartberg vs Austria Vienna

54%Possession46%
11Shots13
3On target4
8Corners4
0.78xG1.18

Goals against chances

TSV Hartberg0 from 0.78 xGless than the chances were worth
Austria Vienna2 from 1.18 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

TSV Hartberg 5-3-2
  • 91Ármin PécsiG
  • 17Jonas KarnerD
  • 14Paul KomposchD
  • 19Lukas SpendlhoferD
  • 18Fabian WilfingerD
  • 6Habib Anas CoulibalyD
  • 23Tobias KainzM
  • 4Benjamin MarkušM
  • 10Oliver LukićM
  • 22Marco HoffmannF
  • 7Angelo GattermayerF
Substitutes
  • 28Florian GerstlM
  • 70Chilohem OnuohaF
  • 21Luka MarićG
  • 16Magnus DalpiazD
  • 5Youba DiarraM
  • 95Nikolaus FeldhoferM
  • 11Jed DrewF
  • 8Matthias PostlF
  • 9Agustín UrrutiaF
Coach: Markus Schopp
Austria Vienna 3-4-2-1
  • 1Samuel Sahin-RadlingerG
  • 26Reinhold RanftlD
  • 46Johannes HandlD
  • 3Buhari IbrahimD
  • 40Daniel NnodimM
  • 16Lee Kang-heeM
  • 22Florian WustingerM
  • 17Lee Tae-seokM
  • 20Julian HettwerF
  • 10Sanel SaljicF
  • 14Kelvin BoatengF
Substitutes
  • 30Manfred FischerM
  • 7Vasilije MarkovicM
  • 19Johannes EggesteinF
  • 99Mirko KosG
  • 4Jonas FeddersenD
  • 21Matteo SchablasM
  • 6Philipp MaybachM
  • 74Hasan DeshishkuF
  • 37Moritz WelsM
Coach: Stephan Helm

Form going into TSV Hartberg vs Austria Vienna

TSV Hartberg

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2Sturm Graz8 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Red Bull Salzburg1 August 2026

Austria Vienna

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2Beitar Jerusalem13 August 2026
  • L0-2Lask Linz9 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Beitar Jerusalem6 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Wolfsberger AC2 August 2026
  • W3-1FK Liepaja30 July 2026

What these results say

  • Austria Vienna conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Austria Vienna had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Austria Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4TSV Hartberg126242319+420
11Austria Vienna122281123-128

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: TSV Hartberg vs Austria Vienna

  • 3 May 2026Austria Vienna 1–0 TSV HartbergBundesliga
  • 22 March 2026TSV Hartberg 0–1 Austria ViennaBundesliga
  • 1 November 2025TSV Hartberg 2–1 Austria ViennaBundesliga
  • 24 August 2025Austria Vienna 1–3 TSV HartbergBundesliga
  • 2 April 2025Austria Vienna 0–1 TSV HartbergCup

Leading scorers: TSV Hartberg and Austria Vienna

TSV Hartberg

GoalsAssists

  • C. Hoffmann61
  • M. Hoffman40

Austria Vienna

No player in Bundesliga's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Austria Vienna won 2–0 at TSV Hartberg. The model had leaned towards a win for TSV Hartberg at 45% and given a win for Austria Vienna 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: D. Nnodim 33' for Austria Vienna, J. Hettwer 76' for Austria Vienna. On expected goals it finished 0.78–1.18.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.