Sturm Graz sit 4th in the Bundesliga on 11 points from 6 matches, having scored 8 and conceded 6. The model rates their attack at 0.65× the league average and their defence at 1.35× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 5 league matches they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, most recently beating Lask Linz 2-1 at home. That is 1.83 points a match, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.00 per game across 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. That leaves them 4 points behind Lask Linz at the top, in a table of 12. Among the 12 rated sides in the division that is the 4th-best attack and the 1st-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they host Rennes in the UEFA Europa League on 16 September 2026, a match the model gives them 27%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lask Linz | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | +12 | 15 |
| 2 | Rapid Vienna | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 | Red Bull Salzburg | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 4 | +11 | 14 |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 5 | WSG Wattens | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 6 | TSV Hartberg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
| 7 | Grazer AK | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 7 |
| 8 | Austria Vienna | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 6 |
| 9 | Wolfsberger AC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 5 |
| 10 | Ried | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 | Austria Lustenau | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
| 12 | SCR Altach | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 |
Sturm Graz sit 4 of 12, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W2-1Lask Linz13 September 2026
- L1-3away to Rapid Vienna30 August 2026
- D1-1Austria Lustenau22 August 2026
- W1-0SCR Altach15 August 2026
- W2-0away to TSV Hartberg8 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Sturm Graz vs Rennes
Sturm Graz host Rennes at Merkur-Arena, Graz on 16 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. The model makes it 27% Sturm Graz, 28% draw and 45% Rennes, with a most likely scoreline of 1-2. It projects 1.09 expected goals for Sturm Graz against 1.74. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Full preview and model analysis for Sturm Graz vs Rennes
Upcoming fixtures
Recent results
Leading scorers
- N. Weiper2 goals
League goals this season.