16 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

WSG Wattens vs Red Bull Salzburg Bundesliga prediction & result

Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Innsbruck
Full time0 – 3

Final score: WSG Wattens 0-3 Red Bull Salzburg.

Before kick-off the model made it 22% WSG Wattens, 23% draw, 55% Red Bull Salzburg — fair odds of 4.55, 4.35 and 1.82.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Red Bull Salzburg at 55%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

WSG Wattens0%Draw1%Red Bull Salzburg99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

15'
⚽K. Konateassist: F. Kratzig
17'
⚽F. Kratzigassist: Y. Vertessen
R. Gschosser
21'
22'
🔁L. Morgallaout: N. Veratschnig
⚽L. Hinterseer (pen)assist: L. Hinterseer
45+4'
46'
🔁Y. Vertessenout: S. Kitano
🔁M. Satinout: N. Celic
46'
M. Olakigbe
50'
61'
🔁E. Baidooout: B. Mazurek
61'
🔁D. Redzicout: A. Camara
68'
🔁F. Kratzigout: D. Schmid
70'
⚽S. Kitanoassist: A. Barry
🔁T. Goigingerout: N. Baden Frederiksen
71'
🔁R. Gschosserout: D. Jaunegg
72'
🔁H. Balicout: D. Gugganig
82'
🔁L. Hinterseerout: S. Wieser
82'
N. Celic
90+1'

Match stats — WSG Wattens vs Red Bull Salzburg

39%Possession61%
14Shots22
5On target12
2Corners7
2.12xG3.65

Goals against chances

WSG Wattens0 from 2.12 xGless than the chances were worth
Red Bull Salzburg3 from 3.65 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

WSG Wattens 3-4-2-1
  • 1Salko HamzićG
  • 5Drew MurrayD
  • 23Marco BorasD
  • 14David KubattaD
  • 18Husein BalićM
  • 11Murat SatinM
  • 6Marc StriednigM
  • 32Raphael GschösserM
  • 36Thomas GoigingerF
  • 17Michael OlakigbeF
  • 16Lukas HinterseerF
Substitutes
  • 43Nemanja ČelićM
  • 27David JauneggD
  • 8Nikolai FrederiksenF
  • 13Alexander EckmayrG
  • 3David GugganigD
  • 38Simon WieserM
  • 39Giorgi BedianashviliD
  • 15Mazou BambaraM
  • 9Ademola Ola-AdebomiF
Coach: Philipp Semlic
Red Bull Salzburg 4-2-3-1
  • 52Christian ZawieschitzkyG
  • 39Leandro MorgallaD
  • 21Tim DrexlerD
  • 47Valentin ZabranskyD
  • 13Frans KrätzigD
  • 32Abubakr BarryM
  • 14Maurits KjaergaardM
  • 20Edmund BaidooM
  • 19Karim KonatéM
  • 23Damir RedzicM
  • 11Yorbe VertessenF
Substitutes
  • 18Nikolas VeratschnigD
  • 8Sota KitanoF
  • 15Bartosz MazurekM
  • 33Aboubacar CamaraM
  • 31Dominik SchmidD
  • 1Christian FrüchtlG
  • 44Kévin BomaD
  • 4John MellbergD
  • 9Haris TabakovićF
Coach: Danny Rohl

Form going into WSG Wattens vs Red Bull Salzburg

WSG Wattens

All competitions we cover

  • L1-3away to SCR Altach7 August 2026
  • D1-1Sturm Graz1 August 2026

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions we cover

  • D3-3away to Pafos13 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Wolfsberger AC9 August 2026
  • W1-0Pafos6 August 2026
  • W1-0TSV Hartberg1 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Austria Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7WSG Wattens123451518-313
2Red Bull Salzburg12930339+2430

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: WSG Wattens vs Red Bull Salzburg

  • 23 November 2025Red Bull Salzburg 2–3 WSG WattensBundesliga
  • 30 October 2025Red Bull Salzburg 3–1 WSG WattensCup
  • 28 September 2025WSG Wattens 1–2 Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
  • 15 February 2025Red Bull Salzburg 1–1 WSG WattensBundesliga
  • 30 October 2024Red Bull Salzburg 3–0 WSG WattensCup

Leading scorers: WSG Wattens and Red Bull Salzburg

WSG Wattens

GoalsAssists

  • N. Frederiksen50

Red Bull Salzburg

GoalsAssists

  • H. Tabaković80
  • K. Konaté40
  • Y. Vertessen33

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Red Bull Salzburg won 3–0 at WSG Wattens. The model had made a win for Red Bull Salzburg its most likely outcome, at 55%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: K. Konate 15' for Red Bull Salzburg, F. Kratzig 17' for Red Bull Salzburg, S. Kitano 70' for Red Bull Salzburg. On expected goals it finished 2.12–3.65.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.