11 September 2026, 17:30 UTC

Stellenbosch vs Sekhukhune United Premier Soccer League prediction & result

Danie Craven Stadium, Stellenbosch
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Stellenbosch 1-1 Sekhukhune United.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% Stellenbosch, 32% draw, 32% Sekhukhune United — fair odds of 2.78, 3.13 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Stellenbosch at 36% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Stellenbosch3%Draw94%Sekhukhune United3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

39'
Lehlogonolo Mojela
42'
Ngoanamello Rammala
46'
🔁G. Khupeout: T. Khiba
Sinoxolo Kwayiba
49'
Terrence Mashego
55'
🔁Danielsout: Q. Plaatjies
63'
63'
⚽B. Muzeuassist: L. B. Mojela
67'
🔁O. Phiriout: T. Nkwana
67'
🔁B. Muzeuout: C. Ohizu
67'
🔁L. B. Mojelaout: O. Mandi
74'
Olerato Mandi
🔁S. Kwayibaout: Q. Sibande
76'
🔁T. Lebitsoout: C. Butsaka
76'
83'
🔁T. Mokoaneout: D. Cardoso
Bradley Grobler
86'
⚽B. Groblerassist: S. Nkwali
87'
Lehlogonolo George Matlou
90+2'

Match stats — Stellenbosch vs Sekhukhune United

55%Possession45%
15Shots6
5On target4
7Corners1
1.38xG1.11

Goals against chances

Stellenbosch1 from 1.38 xGabout what the chances were worth
Sekhukhune United1 from 1.11 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Stellenbosch 4-4-2
  • 17S. StephensG
  • 26S. NkwaliD
  • 30S. MsimangoD
  • 4L. VenaD
  • 27T. MashegoD
  • 37T. LebitsoM
  • 19G. PalaceM
  • 28L. MatlouM
  • 14S. KwayibaM
  • 32DanielsF
  • 67B. GroblerF
Substitutes
  • 1N. GarrowG
  • 22Q. SibandeD
  • 21G. TaunyanaD
  • 33C. ButsakaM
  • 20K. JohannesenM
  • 8V. AndrieasM
  • 13R. WillemseM
  • 12S. AprilM
  • 11Q. PlaatjiesF
Coach: Gavin Hunt
Sekhukhune United 4-2-3-1
  • 30M. N. ButheleziG
  • 28T. MatsimbiD
  • 3B. NdlovuD
  • 14N. S. GilbaniD
  • 11N. RammalaD
  • 33G. KhupeM
  • 15S. MkhizeM
  • 31T. MokoaneM
  • 41B. MuzeuM
  • 8O. PhiriM
  • 21L. B. MojelaF
Substitutes
  • 23M. SapungaG
  • 29D. S. KazeemD
  • 4D. CardosoD
  • 12T. KhibaD
  • 17T. MashiloaneM
  • 43A. MokgalakaM
  • 5T. Nkwana
  • 34C. OhizuF
  • 22O. Mandi
Coach: Papi Zothwane

Form going into Stellenbosch vs Sekhukhune United

Stellenbosch

Premier Soccer League

  • D0-0away to Durban City1 September 2026
  • L0-1away to Golden Arrows26 August 2026

Sekhukhune United

Premier Soccer League

  • D0-0TS Galaxy5 September 2026
  • L0-2away to Orlando Pirates25 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premier Soccer League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Stellenbosch824298+110
6Sekhukhune United842298+114

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Stellenbosch and Sekhukhune United

Stellenbosch

GoalsAssists

  • Q. Plaatjies30

Sekhukhune United

GoalsAssists

  • E. Rammala21
  • B. Muzeu21
  • T. Mokoane20

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Stellenbosch and Sekhukhune United drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Stellenbosch at 36% and given a draw 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: B. Muzeu 63' for Sekhukhune United, B. Grobler 87' for Stellenbosch. On expected goals it finished 1.38–1.11.

How the call on Stellenbosch v Sekhukhune United has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 36% / 30% / 34% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 36% / 32% / 32%: the biggest move is Sekhukhune United's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. Stellenbosch win36%=
  2. Draw32%▲ +2
  3. Sekhukhune United win32%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.