Farul Constanta vs Uta Arad Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Farul Constanta 4-2 Uta Arad.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Farul Constanta, 32% draw, 32% Uta Arad — fair odds of 2.78, 3.13 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Romanian Liga I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Farul Constanta at 36% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Farul Constanta vs Uta Arad
Line-ups
- 12R. MunteanuG
- 24S. BouzamouchaD
- 5N. AberdinD
- 4Gustavo MarinsD
- 28C. SimaM
- 23T. NjikéM
- 70M. AhlinviM
- 11C. GaneaM
- 29A. GoncearF
- 7D. AlibecF
- 20E. RădăslăvescuF
- 6V. DicanM
- 13I. CercelD
- 1A. BuzbuchiG
- 33João FerreiraD
- 17I. LarieD
- 99Răzvan MarinceanF
- 80N. PopescuM
- 10E. SylvestreF
- 71R. TănasăF
- 1Márcio RosaG
- 2A. DorobanțuD
- 15P. OuanehD
- 4A. BengaD
- 72A. PadulaD
- 5S. MinoM
- 8A. RomanM
- 11H. AbdallahM
- 77J. PapeauM
- 20Denis TaroiM
- 9M. ComanF
- 6A. IvanovM
- 10M. TzionisF
- 7Ismet SinaniF
- 42O. El SawyM
- 14S. GueuletteM
- 33A. GorceaG
- 22R. BădescuD
Form going into Farul Constanta vs Uta Arad
Farul Constanta
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to CFR 1907 Cluj4 September 2026
- D0-0FC Botosani30 August 2026
- D1-1away to Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe23 August 2026
- D1-1away to Arges Pitesti14 August 2026
- W3-2Csikszereda8 August 2026
Uta Arad
All competitions we cover
- W5-1Csikszereda5 September 2026
- W3-1away to FCSB30 August 2026
- D0-0Corvinul Hunedoara22 August 2026
- L1-2away to Universitatea Cluj17 August 2026
- D0-0Rapid7 August 2026
What these results say
- Farul Constanta went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Farul Constanta failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Farul Constanta had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Farul Constanta | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 20 | +1 | 20 |
| 8 | Uta Arad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Farul Constanta vs Uta Arad
- 26 April 2026Uta Arad 0–0 Farul ConstantaLiga I
- 15 December 2025Farul Constanta 1–1 Uta AradLiga I
- 9 August 2025Uta Arad 2–1 Farul ConstantaLiga I
- 10 May 2025Farul Constanta 1–2 Uta AradLiga I
- 20 January 2025Farul Constanta 1–1 Uta AradLiga I
Leading scorers: Farul Constanta and Uta Arad
Farul Constanta
GoalsAssists
- M. Ahlinvi61
- E. Rădăslăvescu53
Uta Arad
GoalsAssists
- M. Coman50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Farul Constanta beat Uta Arad 4–2. The model had made a win for Farul Constanta its most likely outcome, at 36%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Matteo Ahlinvi 3' for Farul Constanta, Eduard Radaslavescu 20' for Farul Constanta, Marius Coman 37' for Uta Arad, Denis Alibec 44' for Farul Constanta, Eduard Radaslavescu 57' for Farul Constanta, omar sawy el 87' for Uta Arad.
How the call on Farul Constanta v Uta Arad has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 43% / 29% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 36% / 32% / 32%: the biggest move is Farul Constanta's chance of winning, down 7 points.
- Farul Constanta win36%▼ −7
- Draw32%▲ +3
- Uta Arad win32%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.