Benevento vs Hellas Verona Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Benevento 3-1 Hellas Verona.
Before kick-off the model made it 33% Benevento, 30% draw, 37% Hellas Verona — fair odds of 3.03, 3.33 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hellas Verona at 37% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Benevento vs Hellas Verona
Line-ups
- 26G. VannucchiG
- 77E. PierozziD
- 14S. ScognamilloD
- 23P. SaioD
- 17L. SernicolaD
- 6A. SiatounisM
- 8M. MaitaM
- 28C. KouanM
- 11D. LamestaM
- 29D. OkerekeM
- 9F. SalveminiF
- 5L. CaldirolaD
- 10L. CherubiniF
- 15C. Dalle MuraD
- 80M. DonatielloM
- 22M. EspositoG
- 16Mattia ManniniD
- 32G. MignaniF
- 21E. SchimmentiM
- 96A. SyllaG
- 1N. LealiG
- 4G. ZappaD
- 48S. KoračD
- 5A. EdmundssonD
- 6D. BradarićD
- 44E. IannoniM
- 24A. BernedeM
- 17A. Le BorgneM
- 11M. CompagnonF
- 19S. MulattieriF
- 9A. SarrF
- 35S. CerboneF
- 37N. CalabreseD
- 70F. ChamD
- 27P. DawidowiczD
- 71D. De BattistiD
- 21A. HarrouiM
- 20G. KastanosM
- 23N. LellaM
- 34S. PerilliG
Form going into Benevento vs Hellas Verona
Benevento
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Ascoli5 September 2026
- D1-1Sudtirol30 August 2026
- L1-2Modena22 August 2026
Hellas Verona
All competitions we cover
- W5-0Arezzo6 September 2026
- D1-1away to Padova29 August 2026
- L1-2Ascoli23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Benevento | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 15 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Benevento vs Hellas Verona
- 3 March 2021Benevento 0–3 Hellas VeronaSerie A
- 2 November 2020Hellas Verona 3–1 BeneventoSerie A
- 22 April 2019Hellas Verona 0–3 BeneventoSerie B
- 9 December 2018Benevento 0–1 Hellas VeronaSerie B
- 4 April 2018Benevento 3–0 Hellas VeronaSerie A
- 16 October 2017Hellas Verona 1–0 BeneventoSerie A
Leading scorers: Benevento and Hellas Verona
Benevento
GoalsAssists
- A. Siatounis30
Hellas Verona
GoalsAssists
- D. Mosquera60
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Benevento beat Hellas Verona 3–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Hellas Verona at 37% and given a win for Benevento 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Edoardo·Pierozzi 17' for Benevento, Amin Sarr 24' for Hellas Verona, David Okereke 59' for Benevento, Davide Lamesta 65' for Benevento.