12 September 2026, 13:00 UTC

Amazulu vs Marumo Gallants Premier Soccer League prediction & result

Princess Magogo Stadium, Durban
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Amazulu 1-0 Marumo Gallants.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Amazulu, 28% draw, 26% Marumo Gallants — fair odds of 2.17, 3.57 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Amazulu at 46% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Amazulu98%Draw2%Marumo Gallants0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽T. Ngwenyaassist: N. Radebe
37'
43'
Diala Manaka
45+1'
Siphosakhe Ntiya-Ntiya
🔁L. Bernout: O. Mdaka
46'
🔁L. Mhlongoout: H. Ekstein
46'
55'
🔁O. Moletsheout: K. Otladisa
Taariq Fielies
67'
70'
🔁T. Kutumelaout: T. Dhludhlu
🔁M. Mbanjwaout: S. Zikhali
73'
77'
Diala Manaka
77'
Diala Manaka
81'
🔁S. Mbheleout: M. Seketso
🔁A. Maqokolaout: N. Mokoena
85'
🔁T. Ngwenyaout: T. Mashigo
85'
Sphamandla Zikhali
88'

Match stats — Amazulu vs Marumo Gallants

58%Possession42%
12Shots7
3On target1
3Corners2
1.22xG0.37

Goals against chances

Amazulu1 from 1.22 xGabout what the chances were worth
Marumo Gallants0 from 0.37 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Amazulu 4-4-2
  • 1O. MzimelaG
  • 42S. MthethwaD
  • 12T. FieliesD
  • 4R. HanamubD
  • 17L. BernD
  • 14N. RadebeM
  • 6S. HlangabezaM
  • 50L. MhlongoM
  • 15M. MbanjwaM
  • 2A. MaqokolaF
  • 23T. NgwenyaF
Substitutes
  • 24W. KouassiG
  • 3O. MdakaD
  • 5K. AllanD
  • 27H. EksteinM
  • 18N. MokoenaM
  • 38G. MoraloM
  • 19S. ZikhaliM
  • 11A. SitholeM
  • 20T. MashigoM
Coach: Arthur Zwane
Marumo Gallants 4-4-2
  • 30E. LakoG
  • 13K. NcubeD
  • 22M. RikhotsoD
  • 44M. SikakaneD
  • 3S. Ntiya-NtiyaD
  • 9O. MoletsheM
  • 8S. MbheleM
  • 5E. ManakaM
  • 18M. NdlovuM
  • 93T. KutumelaF
  • 15N. NdlondloF
Substitutes
  • 16K. MlamboG
  • 24Y. MadibaM
  • 23K. MarebaneF
  • 27M. Seketso
  • 10M. MpambanisoM
  • 12K. OtladisaM
  • 11T. DhludhluF
  • 37N. RalenkoaneD
  • 20P. MankuM
Coach: Jamil Benouahi

Form going into Amazulu vs Marumo Gallants

Amazulu

Premier Soccer League

  • W2-1away to Richards Bay4 September 2026
  • L2-5away to Mamelodi Sundowns26 August 2026

Marumo Gallants

Premier Soccer League

  • D2-2Polokwane City4 September 2026
  • L2-3TS Galaxy25 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premier Soccer League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Amazulu8611128+419
16Marumo Gallants8026615-92

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Amazulu and Marumo Gallants

Amazulu

GoalsAssists

  • T. Ngwenya81

Marumo Gallants

GoalsAssists

  • M. Ndlovu20

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Amazulu beat Marumo Gallants 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Amazulu at 46%. The goal: T. Ngwenya 37' for Amazulu. Sent off: Diala Manaka (Marumo Gallants) 77'. On expected goals it finished 1.22–0.37.

How the call on Amazulu v Marumo Gallants has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 47% / 29% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 46% / 28% / 26%: the biggest move is Marumo Gallants's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Amazulu win46%▼ −1
  2. Draw28%▼ −1
  3. Marumo Gallants win26%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.