Polokwane City vs Kaizer Chiefs Premier Soccer League prediction & result
Final score: Polokwane City 1-1 Kaizer Chiefs.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Polokwane City, 27% draw, 35% Kaizer Chiefs — fair odds of 2.63, 3.70 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All South African Premier Soccer League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Polokwane City at 38% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Polokwane City vs Kaizer Chiefs
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 50O. MasulukeG
- 42S. ManthosiD
- 22E. Ramaja
- 34L. NkakiD
- 27M. ModiseD
- 46T. MatubeM
- 21M. KambalaM
- 25K. SeboneM
- 14N. MaphanguleM
- 17B. DlaminiM
- 44T. MolokwaneF
- 60A. Ngwenya
- 5M. MvundlelaM
- 48A. MasheleD
- 47M. M. Batlhabane
- 18G. PhilanderM
- 35B. MnguniM
- 16S. MashininiM
- 28L. Mahlatsi
- 37L. MosothoM
- 1B. PetersenG
- 39R. FroslerD
- 84Inacio MiguelD
- 42T. MoloisaneD
- 48B. CrossD
- 13P. MmodiD
- 8S. NdlovuM
- 5S. MthethwaM
- 6L. MaboeM
- 28M. VilakaziF
- 50E. IghodaroF
- 16R. LeanerG
- 29P. MakoD
- 4Z. KwinikaD
- 18D. SolomonsD
- 22A. Bitegeko
- 7M. ShabalalaM
- 11L. BaartmanF
- 35F. AbrahamsM
- 17A. VelebayiM
Form going into Polokwane City vs Kaizer Chiefs
Polokwane City
Premier Soccer League
- D2-2away to Marumo Gallants4 September 2026
- D0-0Milford FC26 August 2026
Kaizer Chiefs
Premier Soccer League
- W3-2Siwelele6 September 2026
- D2-2away to Richards Bay26 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier Soccer League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Polokwane City | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 5 | Kaizer Chiefs | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Polokwane City and Kaizer Chiefs
Polokwane City
No player in Premier Soccer League's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Kaizer Chiefs
GoalsAssists
- M. Shabalala21
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Polokwane City and Kaizer Chiefs drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Polokwane City at 38% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: L. Maboe 29' for Kaizer Chiefs, B. Petersen (own goal) 73' for Polokwane City. On expected goals it finished 0.72–1.50.
How the call on Polokwane City v Kaizer Chiefs has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 37% / 30% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 38% / 27% / 35%: the biggest move is the draw, down 3 points.
- Polokwane City win38%▲ +1
- Draw27%▼ −3
- Kaizer Chiefs win35%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.