8 August 2026, 16:15 UTC

Standard Liege vs Cercle Brugge Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Maurice Dufrasnestadion
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Standard Liege 2-2 Cercle Brugge.

Before kick-off the model made it 22% Standard Liege, 22% draw, 56% Cercle Brugge — fair odds of 4.55, 4.55 and 1.79.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Cercle Brugge at 56%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Standard Liege3%Draw91%Cercle Brugge6%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

•Gustav Mortensen
15'
Adnane Abid
33'
38'
Valy Konaté
41'
⚽L. Mondeleassist: D. Vanzeir
⚽D. Eckertassist: A. Abid
45'
⚽D. Eckertassist: C. Nielsen
48'
66'
🔁D. Vanzeirout: L. Amani
66'
🔁V. Martensout: J. Ndala
🔁A. Trouilletout: R. Touzghar
71'
🔁D. Eckertout: B. Nsimba
71'
🔁B. Ngueneout: S. Drammeh
71'
78'
🔁K. Valyout: I. Diakite
78'
🔁S. Ngouraout: K. Kouassi
83'
🔁L. Mondeleout: Erick Nunes
88'
⚽C. Ravych
🔁M. Ilaimaharitraout: S. Jasper
90+1'

Match stats — Standard Liege vs Cercle Brugge

56%Possession44%
20Shots17
5On target2
7Corners11
2.61xG1.45

Goals against chances

Standard Liege2 from 2.61 xGless than the chances were worth
Cercle Brugge2 from 1.45 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Standard Liege 4-2-3-1
  • 1M. EpoloG
  • 13M. FosseyD
  • 20I. KaramokoD
  • 25I. HautekietD
  • 3G. MortensenD
  • 23M. IlaimaharitraM
  • 22A. TrouilletM
  • 17B. NgueneM
  • 94C. NielsenM
  • 11A. AbidM
  • 10D. EckertF
Substitutes
  • 21L. PirardG
  • 27M. El HankouriM
  • 29D. DierckxD
  • 84R. TouzgharM
  • 7T. MohrM
  • 18H. LawrenceD
  • 19S. JasperM
  • 77B. NsimbaF
  • 15S. DrammehM
Coach: Vincent Euvrard
Cercle Brugge 3-4-1-2
  • 1G. CouckeG
  • 5E. KakouD
  • 66C. RavychD
  • 24G. KondoD
  • 15G. MagneeM
  • 42L. MondeleM
  • 19I. DiabyM
  • 12K. ValyM
  • 71V. MartensF
  • 13D. VanzeirF
  • 9S. NgouraF
Substitutes
  • 84B. LangenbickG
  • 10L. AmaniM
  • 17J. NdalaF
  • 23H. JuradoF
  • 2I. DiakiteD
  • 8Erick NunesM
  • 75S. GheerardynsD
  • 41K. KouassiF
  • 33R. CaicedoD
Coach: Lars Friis

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Standard Liege114341816+215
16Cercle Brugge112361422-89

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Standard Liege vs Cercle Brugge

  • 6 December 2025Cercle Brugge 1–2 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
  • 23 August 2025Standard Liege 0–3 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
  • 1 February 2025Cercle Brugge 1–1 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
  • 23 November 2024Standard Liege 1–0 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
  • 26 January 2024Cercle Brugge 1–1 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League

Leading scorers: Standard Liege and Cercle Brugge

Standard Liege

GoalsAssists

  • D. Eckert Ayensa71

Cercle Brugge

No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Standard Liege and Cercle Brugge drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Cercle Brugge at 56% and given a draw 22%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: L. Mondele 41' for Cercle Brugge, D. Eckert 45' for Standard Liege, D. Eckert 48' for Standard Liege, C. Ravych 88' for Cercle Brugge. On expected goals it finished 2.61–1.45.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.