8 August 2026, 18:45 UTC

KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Het Kuipje, Westerlo
Full time1 – 5

Final score: KVC Westerlo 1-5 Union St. Gilloise.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% KVC Westerlo, 24% draw, 38% Union St. Gilloise — fair odds of 2.63, 4.17 and 2.63.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

KVC Westerlo at 38%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

KVC Westerlo0%Draw1%Union St. Gilloise99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽N. Bassetteassist: I. Sakamoto
13'
25'
Kevin Mac Allister
28'
⚽P. Davidassist: B. Zeneli
33'
Raul Florucz
Cisse Sandra
35'
57'
⚽R. Floruczassist: P. David
60'
🔁R. Floruczout: M. Fuseini
60'
🔁P. Davidout: R. Mofokeng
64'
⚽R. Mofokengassist: R. Schoofs
🔁D. Ouregaout: L. Mbamba-Muanda
68'
🔁A. Lapageout: R. Laalaoui
68'
🔁N. Bassetteout: D. Jochem
68'
68'
🔁B. Zeneliout: D. Olaru
68'
🔁O. Niangout: Guilherme Smith
🔁S. Saitoout: K. Borys
80'
81'
⚽Guilherme Smithassist: M. Fuseini
83'
🔁K. Van De Perreout: O. Kricfalusi
84'
⚽D. Olaru

Match stats — KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise

55%Possession45%
12Shots19
3On target10
4Corners5
0.76xG1.79

Goals against chances

KVC Westerlo1 from 0.76 xGabout what the chances were worth
Union St. Gilloise5 from 1.79 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

KVC Westerlo 3-4-2-1
  • 99A. JungdalG
  • 24M. NdembiD
  • 5S. KimuraD
  • 4A. LapageD
  • 2L. FloM
  • 45I. FofanaM
  • 14C. SandraM
  • 28D. OuregaM
  • 13I. SakamotoF
  • 7S. SaitoF
  • 9N. BassetteF
Substitutes
  • 1B. LathouwersG
  • 8S. SydorchukM
  • 39T. Van den KeybusM
  • 23L. Mbamba-MuandaD
  • 18K. BorysM
  • 12R. LaalaouiM
  • 10A. PatraoF
  • 17D. Jochem
  • 11N. Bohamdi-Kamoni
Coach: Issame Charai
Union St. Gilloise 3-4-1-2
  • 1V. ChambaereG
  • 5K. Mac AllisterD
  • 29M. SyllaD
  • 48F. LeysenD
  • 27L. PatrisM
  • 6K. Van De PerreM
  • 23B. ZeneliM
  • 22O. NiangM
  • 17R. SchoofsF
  • 30R. FloruczF
  • 12P. DavidF
Substitutes
  • 99H. KoffiG
  • 55N. HavenaarD
  • 80O. KricfalusiD
  • 7M. FuseiniF
  • 28D. OlaruM
  • 14I. PavlicM
  • 9M. Biondic
  • 38R. MofokengF
  • 11Guilherme SmithM
Coach: David Hubert

Form going into KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise

KVC Westerlo

No earlier matches on record this season.

Union St. Gilloise

All competitions we cover

  • D3-3Bodo/Glimt4 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9KVC Westerlo114252630-414
1Union St. Gilloise11920307+2329

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise

  • 1 March 2026KVC Westerlo 0–0 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
  • 27 September 2025Union St. Gilloise 2–0 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
  • 15 December 2024Union St. Gilloise 3–1 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
  • 10 August 2024KVC Westerlo 4–3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
  • 10 February 2024Union St. Gilloise 2–2 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League

Leading scorers: KVC Westerlo and Union St. Gilloise

KVC Westerlo

GoalsAssists

  • N. Bassette80
  • S. Saito51

Union St. Gilloise

GoalsAssists

  • R. Florucz50
  • R. Mofokeng42

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Union St. Gilloise won 5–1 at KVC Westerlo. The goals: N. Bassette 13' for KVC Westerlo, P. David 28' for Union St. Gilloise, R. Florucz 57' for Union St. Gilloise, R. Mofokeng 64' for Union St. Gilloise, Guilherme Smith 81' for Union St. Gilloise, D. Olaru 84' for Union St. Gilloise. On expected goals it finished 0.76–1.79.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.