Charleroi vs OH Leuven Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Charleroi 3-1 OH Leuven.
Before kick-off the model made it 57% Charleroi, 24% draw, 19% OH Leuven — fair odds of 1.75, 4.17 and 5.26.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Jupiler Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Charleroi at 57%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Charleroi vs OH Leuven
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 30Mohamed KonéG
- 3Kevin Van Den KerkhofD
- 4Aiham OusouD
- 95Cheick KeitaD
- 24Mardochee NzitaD
- 6Amine BoukamirM
- 18Yassine KhalifiM
- 17Antoine BernierM
- 14Patrick PflückeM
- 10Parfait GuiagonM
- 21Aurélien ScheidlerF
- 19Isaac Ismaël CisséM
- 9Adama BojangF
- 8Jakob Napoleon RomsaasM
- 20Freddy MbembaF
- 25Antoine ColassinF
- 1Martin DelavalléeG
- 44Massamba SowD
- 65Rafaël TeugelsD
- 33Noah SolheidD
- 16Dani van den HeuvelG
- 28Ewoud PletinckxD
- 3Noë DussenneD
- 34Roggerio NyakossiD
- 27Óscar GilM
- 6Wouter GeorgeM
- 8Siebe SchrijversM
- 11Henok TeklabM
- 21William BalikwishaF
- 19Chukwubuikem IkwuemesiF
- 9Abdoul Karim TraoréF
- 26Takuya OgiwaraD
- 99Davis OpokuD
- 24Łukasz ŁakomyM
- 17Kyan VaesenF
- 20Shin YamadaF
- 1Tobe LeysenG
- 5Jamie LawrenceD
- 48Bryang KayoM
- 72Sebastian MurruM
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Charleroi | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 13 | +13 | 27 |
| 10 | OH Leuven | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Charleroi vs OH Leuven
- 19 May 2026Charleroi 1–1 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
- 25 April 2026OH Leuven 0–2 CharleroiJupiler Pro League
- 14 March 2026Charleroi 0–2 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
- 27 July 2025OH Leuven 2–2 CharleroiJupiler Pro League
- 24 May 2025Charleroi 2–1 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: Charleroi and OH Leuven
Charleroi
GoalsAssists
- A. Scheidler62
- F. Situmona Mbemba53
OH Leuven
No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Charleroi beat OH Leuven 3–1. The model had made a win for Charleroi its most likely outcome, at 57%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: P. Guiagon (penalty) 24' for Charleroi, O. Gil 39' for OH Leuven, K. Van Den Kerkhof 59' for Charleroi, F. Mbemba 79' for Charleroi. Sent off: A. K. Traore (OH Leuven) 30'. On expected goals it finished 3.16–1.30.