Club Brugge KV
vs
Kortrijk
The model makes it 85% Club Brugge KV, 10% draw, 5% Kortrijk — fair odds of 1.18, 10.00 and 20.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 3-0 (9%).
Expected goals: Club Brugge KV 3.52, Kortrijk 0.90.
Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%, under 2.5: 19%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Head-to-head: Club Brugge KV vs Kortrijk
- 4 July 2026Club Brugge KV 4–2 KortrijkFriendlies Clubs
- 28 June 2025Club Brugge KV 2–0 KortrijkFriendlies Clubs
- 25 January 2025Club Brugge KV 1–1 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
- 14 September 2024Kortrijk 0–3 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
- 30 January 2024Club Brugge KV 3–3 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
- 21 October 2023Kortrijk 1–0 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
A clear gap in the ratings
Club Brugge KV carry a model rating of 7.01 against 6.46 for Kortrijk. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 3.52 goals for Club Brugge KV and 0.90 for Kortrijk. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Club Brugge KV rate 1.34 in attack and 1.00 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Kortrijk rate 0.64 and 1.39.
That points to 81% for over two and a half goals and 58% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 3-0 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 4-0 (8%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 202 correct results out of 432 settled predictions (47%), with 39 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Club Brugge KV the highest probability at 85%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 3.52 expected goals for Club Brugge KV against 0.9 for Kortrijk. Club Brugge KV's attack/defence rating is 1.34/1 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.64/1.39 for Kortrijk.