Sporting CP vs Galatasaray UEFA Champions League prediction & result
Final score: Sporting CP 3-1 Galatasaray.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Sporting CP, 28% draw, 30% Galatasaray — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Sporting CP at 42% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Sporting CP vs Galatasaray
Sporting CP
- W2-0Nacional5 September 2026
- W4-0away to Rio Ave28 August 2026
- W3-1Alverca22 August 2026
- W3-2Guimaraes14 August 2026
- D2-2away to Estrela8 August 2026
Galatasaray
- W3-2away to Başakşehir4 September 2026
- W3-2Göztepe29 August 2026
- W4-0away to Erzurumspor FK21 August 2026
- D2-2Çorum FK14 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
UEFA Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sporting CP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 30 | Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table