Paris Saint Germain vs Slovan Bratislava UEFA Champions League prediction & result
Final score: Paris Saint Germain 6-1 Slovan Bratislava.
Before kick-off the model made it 61% Paris Saint Germain, 23% draw, 16% Slovan Bratislava — fair odds of 1.64, 4.35 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Champions League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Paris Saint Germain at 61% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Paris Saint Germain vs Slovan Bratislava
Line-ups
- 39M. SafonovG
- 2A. HakimiD
- 6I. ZabarnyiD
- 51W. PachoD
- 25N. MendesD
- 27D. FernandezM
- 17VitinhaM
- 8F. RuizM
- 11M. AklioucheF
- 10O. DembeleF
- 9F. TorresF
- 30L. ChevalierG
- 5MarquinhosD
- 12L. DigneD
- 21L. HernandezD
- 4L. BeraldoD
- 87J. NevesM
- 33W. Zaire-EmeryM
- 24S. MayuluM
- 7K. KvaratskheliaF
- 71D. TakacG
- 28C. BlackmanD
- 12K. BajricD
- 15S. MarkovicD
- 57S. CruzD
- 3P. PokornyM
- 11T. BarseghyanM
- 70C. MartinezM
- 5R. Ibrahim
- 21S. CamaraM
- 99A. SporarF
- 1A. PopovicG
- 2S. KozlovskyD
- 6K. WimmerD
- 49S. CamaraD
- 77D. IgnatenkoM
- 20A. MustaficM
- 8A. GajdosM
- 88D. MatsuokaM
- 13R. CerepkaiF
Form going into Paris Saint Germain vs Slovan Bratislava
Paris Saint Germain
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Monaco4 September 2026
- D2-2away to Lille28 August 2026
- D2-2Rennes23 August 2026
Slovan Bratislava
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Celje26 August 2026
- D1-1Celje19 August 2026
- W2-0Mjallby AIF11 August 2026
- W2-1away to Mjallby AIF4 August 2026
- D1-1FC Iberia 199929 July 2026
What these results say
- Slovan Bratislava went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Slovan Bratislava scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Slovan Bratislava conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | +9 | 9 |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 0 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Paris Saint Germain and Slovan Bratislava
Paris Saint Germain
GoalsAssists
- O. Dembélé33
- Ferran Torres30
Slovan Bratislava
No player in UEFA Champions League's leading scorers — 1 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Paris Saint Germain beat Slovan Bratislava 6–1. The model had made a win for Paris Saint Germain its most likely outcome, at 61%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: O. Dembele 17' for Paris Saint Germain, O. Dembele 23' for Paris Saint Germain, F. Torres 31' for Paris Saint Germain, F. Torres 47' for Paris Saint Germain, F. Torres 57' for Paris Saint Germain, S. Camara 58' for Slovan Bratislava, F. Ruiz 87' for Paris Saint Germain.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.