HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku Finnish Premier League prediction & result
Final score: HJK Helsinki 2-1 Inter Turku.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% HJK Helsinki, 31% draw, 31% Inter Turku — fair odds of 2.63, 3.23 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Finnish Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts HJK Helsinki at 38% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku
Line-ups
- 44M. MarkovicG
- 13K. SimojokiD
- 6V. TikkanenD
- 3T. CissokhoD
- 14L. MontanoD
- 8P. MentuM
- 32Mouhamed Guèye IIM
- 22L. MöllerM
- 11M. KirilovM
- 29S. HaaralaM
- 9M. BorchersF
- 1J. ÖstG
- 31M. BogićevićD
- 17N. AlhoD
- 7Alfie CicaleF
- 10L. LingmanM
- 15J. KallinenM
- 26L. LappalainenF
- 20T. PukkiF
- 24E. LeveälahtiD
- 1E. HuuhtanenG
- 5A. GranlundD
- 22L. KuittinenD
- 30Y. AmankwahD
- 2J. NiskaD
- 4P. AhiabuM
- 17B. AmpofoM
- 7H. SjögrellM
- 8J. Yli-KokkoM
- 16C. JephtaM
- 10A. ContehF
- 6R. IvanovD
- 35Eeli KiiskiläM
- 33Muhammed SusoF
- 9J. TuominenM
- 11J. BotuéF
- 34L. ProkopF
- 24J. TauriainenD
- 12E. VuorjokiG
- 14J. LaineM
Form going into HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Ilves31 August 2026
- L2-3Gnistan23 August 2026
- W3-0FF Jaro16 August 2026
- L0-2away to Motherwell13 August 2026
- W1-0away to AC Oulu9 August 2026
Inter Turku
All competitions we cover
- W1-0KuPS31 August 2026
- L1-4away to FC Copenhagen27 August 2026
- D0-0away to Turku PS23 August 2026
- D0-0FC Copenhagen20 August 2026
- W3-2away to AC Oulu16 August 2026
What these results say
- HJK Helsinki scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Finnish Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HJK Helsinki | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 36 | +23 | 55 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 37 | 24 | +13 | 55 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku
- 5 September 2026Inter Turku 1–0 HJK HelsinkiSuomen Cup
- 17 June 2026HJK Helsinki 3–3 Inter TurkuFinnish Premier League
- 29 April 2026Inter Turku 1–1 HJK HelsinkiFinnish Premier League
- 30 January 2026Inter Turku 1–3 HJK HelsinkiLeague Cup
- 26 October 2025HJK Helsinki 1–1 Inter TurkuFinnish Premier League
Leading scorers: HJK Helsinki and Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
GoalsAssists
- M. Borchers143
- T. Pukki43
Inter Turku
GoalsAssists
- H. Sjögrell72
- Alie Conteh30
- C. Jephta30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
HJK Helsinki beat Inter Turku 2–1. The model had made a win for HJK Helsinki its most likely outcome, at 38%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Prosper Ahiabu 36' for Inter Turku, Mads Borchers 53' for HJK Helsinki, Kaius Simojoki 81' for HJK Helsinki.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.