HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku Veikkausliiga prediction & result
Final score: HJK Helsinki 2-1 Inter Turku.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% HJK Helsinki, 31% draw, 31% Inter Turku — fair odds of 2.63, 3.23 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts HJK Helsinki at 38% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku
Line-ups
- 44M. MarkovicG
- 13K. SimojokiD
- 6V. TikkanenD
- 3T. CissokhoD
- 14L. MontanoD
- 8P. MentuM
- 32Mouhamed Guèye IIM
- 22L. MöllerM
- 11M. KirilovM
- 29S. HaaralaM
- 9M. BorchersF
- 1J. ÖstG
- 31M. BogićevićD
- 17N. AlhoD
- 7Alfie CicaleF
- 10L. LingmanM
- 15J. KallinenM
- 26L. LappalainenF
- 20T. PukkiF
- 24E. LeveälahtiD
- 1E. HuuhtanenG
- 5A. GranlundD
- 22L. KuittinenD
- 30Y. AmankwahD
- 2J. NiskaD
- 4P. AhiabuM
- 17B. AmpofoM
- 7H. SjögrellM
- 8J. Yli-KokkoM
- 16C. JephtaM
- 10A. ContehF
- 6R. IvanovD
- 35Eeli KiiskiläM
- 33Muhammed SusoF
- 9J. TuominenM
- 11J. BotuéF
- 34L. ProkopF
- 24J. TauriainenD
- 12E. VuorjokiG
- 14J. LaineM
Form going into HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
- W2-1away to Ilves31 August 2026
- L2-3Gnistan23 August 2026
- W3-0FF Jaro16 August 2026
Inter Turku
- W1-0KuPS31 August 2026
- D0-0away to Turku PS23 August 2026
- W3-2away to AC Oulu16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Veikkausliiga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | HJK Helsinki | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 27 | +9 | 37 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 29 | 16 | +13 | 42 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku
- 9 September 2026HJK Helsinki 2–1 Inter TurkuVeikkausliiga
- 5 September 2026Inter Turku 1–0 HJK HelsinkiSuomen Cup
- 17 June 2026HJK Helsinki 3–3 Inter TurkuVeikkausliiga
- 29 April 2026Inter Turku 1–1 HJK HelsinkiVeikkausliiga
- 30 January 2026Inter Turku 1–3 HJK HelsinkiLeague Cup
- 26 October 2025HJK Helsinki 1–1 Inter TurkuVeikkausliiga
Leading scorers: HJK Helsinki and Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
- M. Borchers4 goals
- T. Pukki3 goals2 assists
Inter Turku
- J. Yli-Kokko2 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.