Slovan Bratislava vs Celje UEFA Champions League prediction & result
Final score: Slovan Bratislava 1-1 Celje.
Before kick-off the model made it 65% Slovan Bratislava, 20% draw, 15% Celje — fair odds of 1.54, 5.00 and 6.67.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
First leg of the UEFA Champions League Play-offs tie. Second leg: Celje v Slovan Bratislava, 26 Aug →
Slovan Bratislava went through 3–2 on aggregate.
All Champions League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Slovan Bratislava at 65%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Slovan Bratislava vs Celje
Line-ups
- 71D. TakacG
- 28C. BlackmanD
- 12K. BajricD
- 15S. MarkovicD
- 57S. CruzD
- 70C. MartinezM
- 3P. PokornyM
- 20A. MustaficM
- 11T. BarseghyanF
- 13R. CerepkaiF
- 21S. CamaraF
- 44M. MacikG
- 1A. PopovicG
- 2S. KozlovskyD
- 6K. WimmerD
- 77D. IgnatenkoM
- 5R. Ibrahim
- 8A. GajdosM
- 88D. MatsuokaM
- 99A. SporarF
- 1Z. LebanG
- 2P. SirvysD
- 4D. HrkaD
- 6A. TutyskinasD
- 11M. AvdyliD
- 13P. DanielM
- 19M. ZabukovnikM
- 77M. IvansekM
- 10S. SeslarM
- 8M. KvesicM
- 47A. KucysF
- 23Z. FrelihG
- 12L. KolarG
- 33L. KoutrisD
- 3D. VuklisevicD
- 20A. DionkouD
- 27I. CalusicD
- 94R. PozegF
- 17A. KotnikM
- 7B. VerbicM
Form going into Slovan Bratislava vs Celje
Slovan Bratislava
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Mjallby AIF11 August 2026
- W2-1away to Mjallby AIF4 August 2026
- D1-1FC Iberia 199929 July 2026
- W2-0away to FC Iberia 199921 July 2026
Celje
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Ararat-Armenia11 August 2026
- L1-2away to Ararat-Armenia4 August 2026
- D1-1Egnatia Rrogozhinë28 July 2026
- D3-3away to Egnatia Rrogozhinë22 July 2026
What these results say
- Slovan Bratislava went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Slovan Bratislava scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Slovan Bratislava won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Celje scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Celje failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Celje conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Slovan Bratislava vs Celje
- 30 July 2024Slovan Bratislava 5–0 CeljeUEFA Champions League
- 24 July 2024Celje 1–1 Slovan BratislavaUEFA Champions League
The result against the call
Slovan Bratislava and Celje drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Slovan Bratislava at 65% and given a draw 20%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: R. Cerepkai 15' for Slovan Bratislava, M. Avdyli 41' for Celje.