Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Sabah FA UEFA Champions League prediction & result
Final score: Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1 Sabah FA.
Before kick-off the model made it 28% Hapoel Beer Sheva, 22% draw, 50% Sabah FA — fair odds of 3.57, 4.55 and 2.00.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
First leg of the UEFA Champions League Play-offs tie. Second leg: Sabah FA v Hapoel Beer Sheva, 25 Aug →
Sabah FA went through 6–4 on aggregate.
All Champions League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Sabah FA at 50%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Sabah FA
Line-ups
- 1O. MarcianoG
- 2G. MizrahiD
- 4Miguel VitorD
- 12I. RotmanD
- 5P. AmadorD
- 28N. YehoshuaM
- 25Lucas VenturaM
- 7E. PeretzM
- 20J. EastF
- 66I. ZlatanovicF
- 9Z. AhmedF
- 34M. WolffG
- 13O. DavidzadaD
- 3M. BaltaxaD
- 44D. T. DiopD
- 18R. LevyM
- 27Y. StoyanovM
- 23I. HazutM
- 8H. KanaanF
- 11A. C. GanahF
- 92S. PokatilovG
- 80A. ZedadkaD
- 3S. SolvetD
- 5R. DashdamirovD
- 27T. PuchaczD
- 7U. RakhmonaliyevM
- 13I. LepinjicaM
- 34X. SeverinaM
- 10A. IsayevM
- 21V. SimicM
- 20J. MickelsF
- 94R. MirzammadovG
- 1A. RamazanovG
- 33E. A. Santos JuniorD
- 17T. Mutallimov
- 4A. McCarthyD
- 88R. FernandesM
- 16R. RustamliM
- 6A. KhaybulaevM
- 23Y. LachaabF
Form going into Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Sabah FA
Hapoel Beer Sheva
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to FK Crvena Zvezda11 August 2026
- W1-0FK Crvena Zvezda4 August 2026
- W2-0Vikingur Reykjavik29 July 2026
- L1-2away to Vikingur Reykjavik21 July 2026
Sabah FA
All competitions we cover
- W4-0Aarhus11 August 2026
- L1-2away to Aarhus5 August 2026
- W2-0away to KuPS28 July 2026
- W1-0KuPS21 July 2026
What these results say
- Hapoel Beer Sheva scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Hapoel Beer Sheva won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Hapoel Beer Sheva kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Sabah FA scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Sabah FA won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Sabah FA kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Leading scorers: Hapoel Beer Sheva and Sabah FA
Hapoel Beer Sheva
No leading scorers listed yet.
Sabah FA
GoalsAssists
- J. Mickels41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Hapoel Beer Sheva beat Sabah FA 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Sabah FA at 50% and given a win for Hapoel Beer Sheva 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: V. Simic 6' for Sabah FA, J. East 43' for Hapoel Beer Sheva, I. Zlatanovic 79' for Hapoel Beer Sheva.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.