Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants Premier Soccer League prediction & result
Final score: Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 Marumo Gallants.
Before kick-off the model made it 80% Mamelodi Sundowns, 13% draw, 7% Marumo Gallants — fair odds of 1.25, 7.69 and 14.29.
Most likely scoreline: 3-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Mamelodi Sundowns at 80%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 30R. WilliamsG
- 25K. MudauD
- 20G. KekanaD
- 42M. KhozaD
- 23F. BasadienD
- 11M. AllendeM
- 15B. J. AubaasM
- 46B. MokoenaM
- 33C. MailulaM
- 17T. MatthewsM
- 12B. LeonF
- 31R. GossG
- 6A. ModibaD
- 40M. MvalaD
- 28Z. MdunyelwaD
- 21S. MkhuliseM
- 38S. Ndlovu
- 43K. LethlakuF
- 18T. ZwaneM
- 13I. RaynersF
- 30E. LakoG
- 13K. NcubeD
- 22M. RikhotsoD
- 44M. SikakaneD
- 24Y. MadibaD
- 12K. OtladisaM
- 8S. MbheleM
- 5E. ManakaM
- 4B. MabuzaF
- 15N. NdlondloF
- 18M. NdlovuF
- 16K. MlamboG
- 35S. SikhosanaM
- 40D. T. LukheleM
- 23K. MarebaneF
- 10M. MpambanisoM
- 29L. ButtonM
- 21T. MkhwanaziM
- 9O. MoletsheM
- 11T. DhludhluF
Form going into Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants
Mamelodi Sundowns
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Kaizer Chiefs15 August 2026
- W3-2away to TS Galaxy11 August 2026
Marumo Gallants
All competitions we cover
- L1-3away to Stellenbosch14 August 2026
- D0-0Kruger United11 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier Soccer League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 9 | +18 | 26 |
| 15 | Marumo Gallants | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants
- 17 March 2026Mamelodi Sundowns 3–1 Marumo GallantsPremier Soccer League
- 4 October 2025Mamelodi Sundowns 0–0 Marumo GallantsLeague Cup
- 17 September 2025Marumo Gallants 1–1 Mamelodi SundownsPremier Soccer League
- 19 February 2025Marumo Gallants 1–3 Mamelodi SundownsPremier Soccer League
- 10 November 2024Marumo Gallants 0–2 Mamelodi SundownsLeague Cup
- 24 September 2024Mamelodi Sundowns 4–1 Marumo GallantsPremier Soccer League
Leading scorers: Mamelodi Sundowns and Marumo Gallants
Mamelodi Sundowns
GoalsAssists
- I. Rayners40
- T. Matthews34
- B. León31
Marumo Gallants
GoalsAssists
- M. Ndlovu21
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Mamelodi Sundowns beat Marumo Gallants 2–0. The model had made a win for Mamelodi Sundowns its most likely outcome, at 80%, so the call held; the score it named was 3–0. The goals: M. Khoza 21' for Mamelodi Sundowns, C. Mailula 67' for Mamelodi Sundowns. On expected goals it finished 1.66–0.49.