18 August 2026, 19:00 UTC

Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC UEFA Champions League prediction & result

Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Levski Sofia 0-0 AEK Athens FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Levski Sofia, 29% draw, 29% AEK Athens FC — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Champions League Play-offs tie. Second leg: AEK Athens FC v Levski Sofia, 26 Aug →

AEK Athens FC went through 4–0 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

Levski Sofia at 42%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Levski Sofia4%Draw93%AEK Athens FC3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

57'
🔁L. Majerout: P. Mantalos
57'
🔁L. Jovicout: B. Varga
🔁A. Oko-Flexout: J. Perea
67'
🔁Everton Balaout: M. Soula
79'
🔁Reinaldoout: A. Mitkov
79'
81'
🔁A. Koitaout: M. Gacinovic
81'
🔁Ziniout: O. Zubkov
🔁A. Nevesout: S. Hevertton
88'
🔁Maiconout: S. Stoyanchov
89'

Match stats — Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC

52%Possession48%
15Shots12
3On target1
1Corners2

Line-ups

Levski Sofia 4-2-3-1
  • 92S. VutsovG
  • 21A. NevesD
  • 50K. DimitrovD
  • 31N. SerafimovD
  • 20A. CentellesD
  • 19M. MoubarikM
  • 3MaiconM
  • 11A. Oko-FlexM
  • 35SerginhoM
  • 17Everton BalaM
  • 7ReinaldoF
Substitutes
  • 78M. LukovG
  • 1O. VladimirovG
  • 4C. MakounD
  • 2S. HeverttonD
  • 22M. SoulaF
  • 10A. MitkovM
  • 18G. TrdinM
  • 9J. PereaF
  • 77A. RaychevF
Coach: Julio Velazquez
AEK Athens FC 4-4-2
  • 1T. StrakoshaG
  • 12L. RotaD
  • 2H. MoukoudiD
  • 44F. RelvasD
  • 3S. PiliosD
  • 14L. MajerM
  • 18R. MarinM
  • 6K. KairinenM
  • 11A. KoitaM
  • 90ZiniF
  • 9L. JovicF
Substitutes
  • 91A. BrignoliG
  • 41M. BalamotisG
  • 21D. VidaD
  • 15M. GeorgievD
  • 20P. MantalosM
  • 8M. GacinovicM
  • 17D. KaloskamisM
  • 10O. ZubkovM
  • 7D. KutesaM
Coach: Marko Nikolic

Form going into Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC

Levski Sofia

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0away to Kairat Almaty11 August 2026
  • W2-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv7 August 2026
  • W1-0Kairat Almaty4 August 2026
  • W3-0Septemvri Sofia1 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Universitatea Craiova29 July 2026

AEK Athens FC

No earlier matches on record this season.

What these results say

  • Levski Sofia went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Levski Sofia scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Levski Sofia won 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

The result against the call

Levski Sofia and AEK Athens FC drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Levski Sofia at 42% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.