Celje vs Slovan Bratislava UEFA Champions League prediction & result
Final score: Celje 1-2 Slovan Bratislava.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Celje, 25% draw, 36% Slovan Bratislava — fair odds of 2.56, 4.00 and 2.78.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
Second leg of the UEFA Champions League Play-offs tie. First leg: Slovan Bratislava 1–1 Celje (19 Aug) →
Slovan Bratislava went through 3–2 on aggregate.
All Champions League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Celje at 39%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Celje vs Slovan Bratislava
Line-ups
- 1Z. LebanG
- 2P. SirvysD
- 4D. HrkaD
- 6A. TutyskinasD
- 11M. AvdyliD
- 13P. DanielM
- 19M. ZabukovnikM
- 91Y. DukulyM
- 10S. SeslarM
- 8M. KvesicM
- 17A. KotnikF
- 23Z. FrelihG
- 12L. KolarG
- 33L. KoutrisD
- 3D. VuklisevicD
- 20A. DionkouD
- 27I. CalusicD
- 94R. PozegF
- 47A. KucysF
- 7B. VerbicM
- 71D. TakacG
- 28C. BlackmanD
- 12K. BajricD
- 15S. MarkovicD
- 57S. CruzD
- 70C. MartinezM
- 3P. PokornyM
- 11T. BarseghyanM
- 5R. Ibrahim
- 21S. CamaraM
- 99A. SporarF
- 1A. PopovicG
- 2S. KozlovskyD
- 6K. WimmerD
- 77D. IgnatenkoM
- 20A. MustaficM
- 8A. GajdosM
- 88D. MatsuokaM
- 13R. CerepkaiF
- 29A. MarosM
Form going into Celje vs Slovan Bratislava
Celje
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Slovan Bratislava19 August 2026
- W2-0Ararat-Armenia11 August 2026
- L1-2away to Ararat-Armenia4 August 2026
- D1-1Egnatia Rrogozhinë28 July 2026
- D3-3away to Egnatia Rrogozhinë22 July 2026
Slovan Bratislava
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Celje19 August 2026
- W2-0Mjallby AIF11 August 2026
- W2-1away to Mjallby AIF4 August 2026
- D1-1FC Iberia 199929 July 2026
- W2-0away to FC Iberia 199921 July 2026
What these results say
- Celje scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Celje failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Celje conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Slovan Bratislava went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Slovan Bratislava scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Slovan Bratislava had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Celje vs Slovan Bratislava
- 30 July 2024Slovan Bratislava 5–0 CeljeUEFA Champions League
- 24 July 2024Celje 1–1 Slovan BratislavaUEFA Champions League
The result against the call
Slovan Bratislava won 2–1 at Celje. The model had leaned towards a win for Celje at 39% and given a win for Slovan Bratislava 36%. The goals: A. Sporar 18' for Slovan Bratislava, S. Seslar (penalty) 34' for Celje, C. Martinez 100' for Slovan Bratislava. Sent off: Andrej Kotnik (Celje) -5'.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often Celje's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) and Slovan Bratislava's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.