Slavia Mozyr
vs
Dinamo Brest
Premier League prediction
Our model says: Slavia Mozyr 1–2 Dinamo Brest
The model makes it 34% Slavia Mozyr, 26% draw, 40% Dinamo Brest — fair odds of 2.94, 3.85 and 2.50.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Slavia Mozyr 1.54, Dinamo Brest 1.72.
Both teams to score: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 63%, under 2.5: 37%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,958 settled matches.
Edge to Dinamo Brest: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Slavia Mozyr's rating is built from 58 Belarusian Premier League matches and Dinamo Brest's from 58, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Slavia Mozyr are 10th on 34 points from 28 games; Dinamo Brest are 4th on 51 points from 28 games — Premier League.
- Slavia Mozyr have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-0 win at home to Baranovichi.
- Dinamo Brest are unbeaten in their last 5 games (3 won), most recently a 2-2 draw away to FC Minsk.
- Last 6 meetings: Dinamo Brest 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 26 July 2026, ended Slavia Mozyr 2–1 Dinamo Brest.
More Belarusian Premier League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Slavia Mozyr vs Dinamo Brest
Has the model earned this number?
Dinamo Brest at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Slavia Mozyr vs Dinamo Brest
Slavia Mozyr
Premier League
- W2-0Baranovichi8 November 2026
- L1-3away to FC Isloch Minsk R.1 November 2026
- W4-2Torpedo Zhodino25 October 2026
- W4-2away to Belshina19 October 2026
- L1-3away to Dinamo Minsk15 October 2026
Dinamo Brest
Premier League
- D2-2away to FC Minsk8 November 2026
- W3-1FC Vitebsk31 October 2026
- W4-1away to Neman25 October 2026
- D2-2FC Gomel17 October 2026
- W1-0away to Arsenal Dzerzhinsk9 October 2026
What these results say
- Slavia Mozyr scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Slavia Mozyr conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Slavia Mozyr had three goals or more.
- Dinamo Brest went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Dinamo Brest scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Dinamo Brest conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Belarus Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 34 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 29 | +21 | 51 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Dinamo Brest
Chance to finish in the top four · 90% today
From our Premier League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Slavia Mozyr vs Dinamo Brest
- 26 July 2026Slavia Mozyr 2–1 Dinamo BrestCoppa
- 11 July 2026Dinamo Brest 4–1 Slavia MozyrPremier League
- 21 September 2025Slavia Mozyr 0–1 Dinamo BrestPremier League
- 3 May 2025Dinamo Brest 3–1 Slavia MozyrPremier League
- 30 August 2024Dinamo Brest 3–0 Slavia MozyrPremier League
- 20 April 2024Slavia Mozyr 1–1 Dinamo BrestPremier League
Leading scorers: Slavia Mozyr and Dinamo Brest
Slavia Mozyr
GoalsAssists
- T. Lutsevich21
Dinamo Brest
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 50 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Dinamo Brest the highest probability at 40%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.54 expected goals for Slavia Mozyr against 1.72 for Dinamo Brest. Slavia Mozyr's attack/defence rating is 0.55/2.1 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.68/1.72 for Dinamo Brest.
How the model reaches 40% for Dinamo Brest to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Dinamo Brest to win. Then home advantage takes away 7 points, Slavia Mozyr's ratings add 5 points and Dinamo Brest's ratings add 6 points, which lands on the published 40%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage29%−7
- Slavia Mozyr's ratings34%+5
- Dinamo Brest's ratings40%+6
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Slavia Mozyr at home · Dinamo Brest away
League matches only, Premier League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Premier League matches this season: Slavia Mozyr 28, Dinamo Brest 28.
Slavia Mozyr score most often in the 76–90 minute window (10 goals); Dinamo Brest have let in 4 there.
Dinamo Brest score most often in the 76–90 minute window (13 goals); Slavia Mozyr have let in 9 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.