KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: KV Mechelen 0-1 Anderlecht.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% KV Mechelen, 32% draw, 36% Anderlecht — fair odds of 3.13, 3.13 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Jupiler Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Anderlecht at 36% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht
Line-ups
- 13Nacho MirásG
- 2L. MarijnissenD
- 44M. EerdhuijzenD
- 3José MarsàD
- 23S. MichezM
- 6F. HammarM
- 26D. PraetM
- 7T. KoudouM
- 30Marco DecherfM
- 28Bouke BoersmaF
- 9M. van BrederodeF
- 20K. CorbanieD
- 11B. BafdiliM
- 29B. AntonioF
- 1O. De WolfG
- 39M. DecoeneM
- 10M. KireevM
- 19M. Lohunanu-MbasiF
- 14B. RamanF
- 17C. Van MeirvenneF
- 26C. CoosemansG
- 79A. MaamarD
- 4G. BianconeD
- 27L. PétrotD
- 6L. AugustinssonD
- 10M. WinklerM
- 30I. KoutsoupiasM
- 55M. KanaM
- 11O. AntmanM
- 21T. BentayebF
- 14D. SikanF
- 19T. AasgaardM
- 8R. AmanéM
- 9M. CvetkoviÄF
- 83T. DegreefM
- 53N. CobiellaM
- 12A. OmobamideleD
- 61J. BethumeM
- 24E. LlansanaM
- 32J. HeekerenG
Form going into KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
Jupiler Pro League
- L0-4KVC Westerlo5 September 2026
- D2-2away to RAAL La Louvière29 August 2026
Anderlecht
Jupiler Pro League
- D0-0Genk6 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | KV Mechelen | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 6 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht
- 17 May 2026Anderlecht 2–2 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
- 18 April 2026KV Mechelen 1–2 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- 15 March 2026KV Mechelen 1–0 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- 1 November 2025Anderlecht 3–1 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
- 26 January 2025Anderlecht 4–1 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: KV Mechelen and Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Anderlecht
GoalsAssists
- T. Bentayeb31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Anderlecht won 1–0 at KV Mechelen. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Anderlecht at 36%. The goal: Tawfik Bentayeb 43' for Anderlecht.
How the call on KV Mechelen v Anderlecht has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 37% / 30% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 32% / 32% / 36%: the biggest move is KV Mechelen's chance of winning, down 5 points.
- KV Mechelen win32%▼ −5
- Draw32%▲ +2
- Anderlecht win36%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.