KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: KV Mechelen 0-1 Anderlecht.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% KV Mechelen, 32% draw, 36% Anderlecht — fair odds of 3.13, 3.13 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Anderlecht at 36% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht
Line-ups
- 13Nacho MirásG
- 2L. MarijnissenD
- 44M. EerdhuijzenD
- 3José MarsàD
- 23S. MichezM
- 6F. HammarM
- 26D. PraetM
- 7T. KoudouM
- 30Marco DecherfM
- 28Bouke BoersmaF
- 9M. van BrederodeF
- 20K. CorbanieD
- 11B. BafdiliM
- 29B. AntonioF
- 1O. De WolfG
- 39M. DecoeneM
- 10M. KireevM
- 19M. Lohunanu-MbasiF
- 14B. RamanF
- 17C. Van MeirvenneF
- 26C. CoosemansG
- 79A. MaamarD
- 4G. BianconeD
- 27L. PétrotD
- 6L. AugustinssonD
- 10M. WinklerM
- 30I. KoutsoupiasM
- 55M. KanaM
- 11O. AntmanM
- 21T. BentayebF
- 14D. SikanF
- 19T. AasgaardM
- 8R. AmanéM
- 9M. CvetkoviÄF
- 83T. DegreefM
- 53N. CobiellaM
- 12A. OmobamideleD
- 61J. BethumeM
- 24E. LlansanaM
- 32J. HeekerenG
Form going into KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
- L0-4KVC Westerlo5 September 2026
- D2-2away to RAAL La Louvière29 August 2026
- L0-2away to Charleroi22 August 2026
- D3-3Standard Liege16 August 2026
Anderlecht
- D0-0Genk6 September 2026
- W1-0Kortrijk3 September 2026
- L0-3away to Union St. Gilloise30 August 2026
- L0-1away to SK Beveren16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | KV Mechelen | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 2 |
| 7 | Anderlecht | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht
- 11 September 2026KV Mechelen 0–1 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- 17 May 2026Anderlecht 2–2 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
- 18 April 2026KV Mechelen 1–2 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- 15 March 2026KV Mechelen 1–0 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- 1 November 2025Anderlecht 3–1 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
- 26 January 2025Anderlecht 4–1 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: KV Mechelen and Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
- M. van Brederode3 goals
Anderlecht
No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.