12 September 2026, 18:45 UTC

OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Den Dreef, Heverlee
Full time1 – 1

Final score: OH Leuven 1-1 Cercle Brugge.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% OH Leuven, 29% draw, 31% Cercle Brugge — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts OH Leuven at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

OH Leuven96%Draw4%Cercle Brugge0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Davis Opokuassist: Siebe Schrijvers
25'
45'
🔁Dante Vanzeirout: Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola
Siebe Schrijvers
48'
62'
🔁Erick Nunesout: Viggo Martens
63'
🔁Steve Ngouraout: Krys-Anthony Madou Kouassi
66'
Valy Konaté
🔁Siebe Schrijversout: William Balikwisha
70'
🔁Abdoul Karim Traoréout: Shin Yamada
70'
71'
Emmanuel Kakou
77'
🔁Valy Konatéout: Lucas Michal
78'
🔁Emmanuel Kakouout: Abdoul Kader Ouattara
81'
Lukas Mondele
🔁Robin Mirisolaout: Kyan Vaesen
90'
90+3'
•Royer Caicedo
Oscar Gil Regaño
90+4'
Kyan Vaesen
90+5'
90+6'
⚽Krys-Anthony Madou Kouassi (pen)

Match stats — OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge

43%Possession57%
10Shots13
2On target3
2Corners11

Line-ups

OH Leuven 3-4-3
  • 1D. van den HeuvelG
  • 5J. LawrenceD
  • 3N. DussenneD
  • 34R. NyakossiD
  • 27Óscar GilM
  • 6W. GeorgeM
  • 4B. VerstraeteM
  • 99D. OpokuM
  • 18R. MirisolaF
  • 8S. SchrijversF
  • 9A. TraoréF
Substitutes
  • 11H. TeklabM
  • 17K. VaesenF
  • 20S. YamadaF
  • 24Ł. ŁakomyM
  • 30A. FontanarosaD
  • 19C. IkwuemesiF
  • 61O. JochmansG
  • 21W. BalikwishaF
  • 26T. OgiwaraD
Coach: T. Simons
Cercle Brugge 3-4-2-1
  • 1G. CouckeG
  • 5Emmanuel KakouD
  • 24G. KondoD
  • 33R. CaicedoD
  • 2I. DiakitéM
  • 15G. MagnéeM
  • 42L. MondeleM
  • 12V. KonatéM
  • 8ErickM
  • 13D. VanzeirM
  • 9S. NgouraF
Substitutes
  • 30B. AkinsolaF
  • 10L. AmaniM
  • 41K. KouassiF
  • 21Y. LienardG
  • 71V. MartensM
  • 22L. MichalF
  • 28H. Van der BruggenM
  • 82Louis ColmanD
  • 7Abdoul OuattaraF
Coach: L. Friis

Form going into OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge

OH Leuven

Jupiler Pro League

  • L0-3away to SK Beveren6 September 2026

Cercle Brugge

Jupiler Pro League

  • L0-3Gent6 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16OH Leuven9135816-86
18Cercle Brugge90361121-103

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge

  • 21 December 2025OH Leuven 0–2 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
  • 8 November 2025Cercle Brugge 1–2 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
  • 22 December 2024Cercle Brugge 1–0 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
  • 18 August 2024OH Leuven 1–1 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
  • 16 December 2023OH Leuven 1–2 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League

The result against the call

OH Leuven and Cercle Brugge drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for OH Leuven at 40% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Davis Opoku 25' for OH Leuven, Krys-Anthony Madou Kouassi (penalty) 90+6' for Cercle Brugge.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.