Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns Super League prediction & result
Final score: Shenyang Urban 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Shenyang Urban, 25% draw, 33% Wuhan Three Towns — fair odds of 2.38, 4.00 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Chinese Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Shenyang Urban at 42%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns
Line-ups
- 29Zhang YanG
- 3Pan XimingD
- 26Yuan MinchengD
- 35Li HaoranD
- 18Li TixiangM
- 5D. MawlanniyazM
- 10T. KunimotoM
- 15FelipeM
- 11Chen BinbinM
- 7A. KouameF
- 47JeffinhoF
- 16T. WangG
- 28Xu DongD
- 27Gao JiarunD
- 33Tian YinongM
- 36Tian DeaoM
- 30Pang ShenghanD
- 34H. ZhangD
- 19Wu MingyuD
- 8Yan DinghaoM
- 31Guo JiayuG
- 23Ming TianD
- 2He GuanD
- 13Zheng KaimuD
- 4Xu HaofengD
- 8Wang JinxianM
- 18Zhang XiaobinM
- 20Adriano FirminoM
- 10K. BevisM
- 21J. XiongF
- 29J. CadizF
- 22Fang JingqiG
- 28Wang DennyD
- 19Liu YimingD
- 5Li ShenyuanD
- 33Liu BinbinM
- 12Liao ChengjianM
- 30Zhong JinbaoM
- 15Chen ZhechaoD
- 16Min ZixiM
Form going into Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns
Shenyang Urban
Super League
- L0-1away to Tianjin Teda12 September 2026
Wuhan Three Towns
Super League
- L1-4away to Hangzhou Greentown18 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
China Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Shenyang Urban | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 29 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns
- 16 May 2026Wuhan Three Towns 2–2 Shenyang UrbanSuper League
- 5 June 2021Wuhan Three Towns 2–3 Shenyang UrbanLeague One
- 11 May 2021Shenyang Urban 1–3 Wuhan Three TownsLeague One
Leading scorers: Shenyang Urban and Wuhan Three Towns
Shenyang Urban
GoalsAssists
- Jeffinho122
- G. Mbenza111
Wuhan Three Towns
GoalsAssists
- J. Cádiz226
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Shenyang Urban and Wuhan Three Towns drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Shenyang Urban at 42% and given a draw 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Binbin Chen 85' for Shenyang Urban, Antoine Leautey 87' for Wuhan Three Towns.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Shenyang Urban a 48.6% chance to finish in the bottom three: 26.4% after a win, 54.9% after a draw, 72.7% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 54.9%, 6.3 points higher than before the match.
For Wuhan Three Towns the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 86.4% going in: 71.4% after a win, 90.4% after a draw, 97.7% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 90.4%, 4 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Super League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.