FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Dinamo Minsk Premier League prediction & result
Final score: FC Dnepr Mogilev 2-3 Dinamo Minsk.
Before kick-off the model made it 19% FC Dnepr Mogilev, 25% draw, 56% Dinamo Minsk — fair odds of 5.26, 4.00 and 1.79. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Belarusian Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dinamo Minsk at 56% here. Across 3,740 settled matches (as of 15 October 2026), 896 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Dinamo Minsk
Line-ups
- 33A. SinenkoG
- 18A. MikhalenkoD
- 5A. VarganovD
- 8S. RusakD
- 15M. KasarabD
- 89V. HarutyunyanM
- 88K. KirilenkoM
- 55N. KrasnovM
- 11D. LisakovichM
- 10K. ZabelinM
- 21E. KarpitskiyF
- 22N. SednevG
- 3Nenad PerovićD
- 23A. DunaevD
- 17A. PotapenkoM
- 37K. TsepenkovM
- 9E. TorosyanM
- 27R. PiletskiyM
- 66N. TereshchukM
- 99V. StepanenkoF
- 1I. ShimakovichG
- 44G. GurbanD
- 3M. ShvetsovD
- 12A. IvanovD
- 24A. VakulichD
- 8A. SelyavaM
- 42F. AbdullahiM
- 7E. MalashevichM
- 5D. DushevskiyM
- 19R. GuiberoM
- 10K. VardanyanF
- 17I. BakharF
- 30M. DjimetF
- 80L. GwethF
- 13V. PolozM
- 11G. AlykulovM
- 27M. AleksandrovD
- 78A. SokolovskiyM
- 2M. DubatovkaD
- 25A. TouréD
Form going into FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Dinamo Minsk
FC Dnepr Mogilev
- L2-4away to Dinamo Brest20 September 2026
- D1-1ML Vitebsk13 September 2026
- L1-2away to Baranovichi6 September 2026
- D0-0FC Isloch Minsk R.30 August 2026
Dinamo Minsk
- W2-0Bate Borisov19 September 2026
- L0-1Dinamo Brest13 September 2026
- D0-0away to ML Vitebsk6 September 2026
- W5-1Naftan2 September 2026
What these results say
- FC Dnepr Mogilev did not win any of these 4 matches.
- FC Dnepr Mogilev scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- FC Dnepr Mogilev conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Dinamo Minsk had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | FC Dnepr Mogilev | 24 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 16 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 18 | +22 | 46 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Dinamo Minsk
- 11 October 2026FC Dnepr Mogilev 2–3 Dinamo MinskPremier League
- 24 May 2026Dinamo Minsk 3–1 FC Dnepr MogilevPremier League
- 16 September 2024Dinamo Minsk 2–0 FC Dnepr MogilevPremier League
- 27 April 2024FC Dnepr Mogilev 0–2 Dinamo MinskPremier League
- 25 January 2024FC Dnepr Mogilev 0–1 Dinamo MinskFriendlies Clubs
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.