11 October 2026, 12:00 UTC

Grasshoppers vs BSC Young Boys Super League prediction & result

Letzigrund Stadion
Referee: Sven Wolfensberger
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Grasshoppers 0-2 BSC Young Boys.

Before kick-off the model made it 21% Grasshoppers, 19% draw, 60% BSC Young Boys — fair odds of 4.76, 5.26 and 1.67.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

BSC Young Boys at 60%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Grasshoppers0%Draw1%BSC Young Boys99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

17'
Armin Gigovic
26'
Lewin Blum
30'
🔁Alan Virginiusout: Bahereba Guirassy
35'
Cedric Zesiger
🔁Lee Young-Junout: Allan Arigoni
45'
🔁Óscar Clementeout: Nikolas Marcel Cristiano Muci
45'
49'
⚽Samuel Essendeassist: Isaac Schmidt
52'
⚽Christian Fassnacht
🔁Manex Gibelaldeout: Denis Sahin
63'
67'
🔁Lewin Blumout: stefan bukinac
🔁Kenzo Goudmijnout: Giotto Morandi
67'
67'
🔁Armin Gigovicout: Moritz Jenz
76'
Edimilson Fernandes
🔁Yannick Bettkoberout: Luka Mikulic
77'
84'
🔁Christian Fassnachtout: Mamadou Kaly·Sene
84'
🔁Samuel Essendeout: Edin Etoski
Simone Stroscio
90+1'

Match stats — Grasshoppers vs BSC Young Boys

48%Possession52%
8Shots21
2On target6
3Corners5
0.36xG2.48

Goals against chances

Grasshoppers0 from 0.36 xGabout what the chances were worth
BSC Young Boys2 from 2.48 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Grasshoppers 4-3-3
  • 1M. HübelG
  • 28S. StroscioD
  • 58Yannik BettkoberD
  • 44B. PllanaD
  • 57Nico RissiD
  • 24K. GoudmijnM
  • 66Manex GibelaldeM
  • 6A. AbrashiM
  • 10Óscar ClementeF
  • 18Lee Young-JunF
  • 17S. KrasniqiF
Substitutes
  • 34A. ArigoniD
  • 20D. FerrazzaF
  • 71J. HammelG
  • 25J. HiltonD
  • 4L. MikulicD
  • 11G. MorandiM
  • 9N. MuciF
  • 55D. PapicM
  • 56D. SahinM
Coach: O. Janßen
BSC Young Boys 4-2-3-1
  • 1M. KellerG
  • 27L. BlumD
  • 30S. LauperD
  • 15C. ZesigerD
  • 22I. SchmidtD
  • 8A. GigovićM
  • 6E. FernandesM
  • 16C. FassnachtM
  • 10A. SanchesM
  • 7A. VirginiusM
  • 99S. EssendeF
Substitutes
  • 34E. EtoskiM
  • 12Bahereba GuirassyF
  • 17S. JankoD
  • 4M. JenzD
  • 18J. MallG
  • 13D. PechM
  • 9K. SèneF
  • 52N. TschanzM
  • 33S. BukinacD
Coach: G. Seoane

Form going into Grasshoppers vs BSC Young Boys

Grasshoppers

Super League

  • L1-5away to FC Luzern19 September 2026

BSC Young Boys

Super League

  • W3-2Servette FC19 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Switzerland Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Grasshoppers132561629-1311
2BSC Young Boys138414125+1628

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Grasshoppers vs BSC Young Boys

  • 7 February 2026Grasshoppers 1–1 BSC Young BoysSuper League
  • 17 December 2025BSC Young Boys 2–6 GrasshoppersSuper League
  • 30 October 2025Grasshoppers 3–3 BSC Young BoysSuper League
  • 2 March 2025Grasshoppers 1–0 BSC Young BoysSuper League
  • 25 January 2025Grasshoppers 0–0 BSC Young BoysSuper League

Leading scorers: Grasshoppers and BSC Young Boys

Grasshoppers

No player in Super League's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.

BSC Young Boys

GoalsAssists

  • S. Essende153
  • C. Fassnacht61
  • A. Sanches44

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

BSC Young Boys won 2–0 at Grasshoppers. The model had made a win for BSC Young Boys its most likely outcome, at 60%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Samuel Essende 49' for BSC Young Boys, Christian Fassnacht 52' for BSC Young Boys. On expected goals it finished 0.36–2.48.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Grasshoppers a 75.8% chance to finish in the bottom three: 64.5% after a win, 74.9% after a draw, 79.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 79.7%, 3.9 points higher than before the match.

For BSC Young Boys the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 8.4% going in: 9.8% after a win, 5.3% after a draw, 4.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 9.8%, 1.4 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Super League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Grasshoppers v BSC Young Boys has moved

First published on 27 Sep at 23% / 22% / 55% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 21% / 19% / 60%: the biggest move is BSC Young Boys's chance of winning, up 5 points.

  1. Grasshoppers win21%▼ −2
  2. Draw19%▼ −3
  3. BSC Young Boys win60%▲ +5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.