Grasshoppers
vs
BSC Young Boys
Super League prediction
Our model says: Grasshoppers 1–2 BSC Young Boys
The model makes it 23% Grasshoppers, 22% draw, 55% BSC Young Boys — fair odds of 4.35, 4.55 and 1.82. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2 (7%).
Expected goals: Grasshoppers 1.52, BSC Young Boys 2.99.
Both teams to score: 74%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%, under 2.5: 17%.
Model confidence: High.
Published
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Grasshoppers vs BSC Young Boys
Has the model earned this number?
It puts BSC Young Boys at 55% here. Across 2888 settled matches, 682 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 53.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Grasshoppers vs BSC Young Boys
Grasshoppers
- L1-5away to FC Luzern19 September 2026
- L2-5FC Sion15 September 2026
- W1-0away to FC Thun12 September 2026
- D2-2FC Zurich5 September 2026
- W2-0FC St. Gallen2 September 2026
BSC Young Boys
- W3-2Servette FC19 September 2026
- D2-2away to FC Lugano12 September 2026
- D3-3FC Luzern5 September 2026
- W4-2away to FC Zurich1 September 2026
- D3-3FC Basel 189329 August 2026
What these results say
- Grasshoppers scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- BSC Young Boys went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- BSC Young Boys scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- BSC Young Boys conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grasshoppers | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 8 |
| 2 | BSC Young Boys | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 31 | 18 | +13 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Grasshoppers vs BSC Young Boys
- 7 February 2026Grasshoppers 1–1 BSC Young BoysSuper League
- 17 December 2025BSC Young Boys 2–6 GrasshoppersSuper League
- 30 October 2025Grasshoppers 3–3 BSC Young BoysSuper League
- 2 March 2025Grasshoppers 1–0 BSC Young BoysSuper League
- 25 January 2025Grasshoppers 0–0 BSC Young BoysSuper League
- 28 September 2024BSC Young Boys 0–1 GrasshoppersSuper League
Leading scorers: Grasshoppers and BSC Young Boys
Grasshoppers
- S. Bengondo3 goals
BSC Young Boys
- S. Essende10 goals3 assists
- C. Fassnacht4 goals1 assists
- A. Sanches3 goals4 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Grasshoppers carry a model rating of 6.25 against 6.72 for BSC Young Boys. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.52 goals for Grasshoppers and 2.99 for BSC Young Boys. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Grasshoppers rate 0.54 in attack and 1.81 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; BSC Young Boys rate 1.09 and 1.52.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Grasshoppers a 0% chance of the title and BSC Young Boys 11.2%, from 10000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1344 correct results out of 2888 settled predictions (47%), with 275 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives BSC Young Boys the highest probability at 55%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.52 expected goals for Grasshoppers against 2.99 for BSC Young Boys. Grasshoppers's attack/defence rating is 0.54/1.81 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.09/1.52 for BSC Young Boys.