11 October 2026, 10:00 UTC

Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing Super League prediction & result

Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center, Qingdao
Referee: Yinhao Shen, China
Full time0 – 4

Final score: Qingdao Youth Island 0-4 Dalian Zhixing.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Qingdao Youth Island, 28% draw, 26% Dalian Zhixing — fair odds of 2.17, 3.57 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Qingdao Youth Island at 46%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Qingdao Youth Island0%Draw1%Dalian Zhixing99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

7'
⚽Frank Acheampongassist: Pedro Delgado
15'
Frank Acheampong
21'
Jintao Liao
Bruno Viana
32'
42'
•Luo Jing
🔁Elnizar Lohmanout: Longhai He
46'
55'
🔁Luo Jingout: Yang Mingrui
🔁Jingchao Mengout: Yang Zhanpeng
61'
Samir Memisevic
68'
70'
⚽Frank Acheampong
76'
⚽Frank Acheampong (pen)
🔁Xiuwei Zhangout: Jia Weiwei
78'
Yang Zhanpeng
79'
84'
🔁Pedro Delgadoout: Feng Jin
85'
🔁Nicolae Stanciuout: Shan Huang
85'
🔁Jintao Liaoout: Huachen Zhang
87'
⚽Frank Acheampongassist: Huachen Zhang
🔁Nelson Luzout: Xie Chujun
87'
89'
🔁Lü Zhuoyiout: Kangbo Sun

Match stats — Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing

56%Possession44%
12Shots19
2On target8
3Corners3

Line-ups

Qingdao Youth Island 4-2-3-1
  • 16Hao LiG
  • 4Elnizar LohmanD
  • 5Samir MemisevicD
  • 2Bruno VianaD
  • 22Gengrui WangD
  • 8Xiuwei ZhangM
  • 28Chengdong ZhangM
  • 10Nelson LuzM
  • 21Jingchao MengM
  • 11DavidsonM
  • 9AzizF
Substitutes
  • 20Longhai HeM
  • 30Yang ZhanpengM
  • 29Jia WeiweiF
  • 31Xie ChujunM
  • 26Shibo LiuG
  • 15Peng WangD
  • 32Haifeng DingD
  • 3Honglüe ZhaoD
  • 36Jie SunD
Dalian Zhixing 4-2-3-1
  • 20Weiguo LiuG
  • 38Lü ZhuoyiD
  • 2Mamadou TraoréD
  • 6Yue SongD
  • 12Feng BoxuanD
  • 40Jintao LiaoM
  • 4Isnik AlimiM
  • 9Pedro DelgadoM
  • 10Nicolae StanciuM
  • 7Luo JingM
  • 30Frank AcheampongF
Substitutes
  • 27Yang MingruiM
  • 44Feng JinF
  • 23Shan HuangM
  • 8Huachen ZhangM
  • 28Kangbo SunD
  • 1Ge PengG
  • 26Zihao HuangG
  • 15Jiabao WenD
  • 24Jinhao BiD

Form going into Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing

Qingdao Youth Island

Super League

  • D2-2away to Wuhan Three Towns5 September 2026

Dalian Zhixing

Super League

  • W2-1Qingdao Jonoon5 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

China Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Qingdao Youth Island3081573242-1039
1Dalian Zhixing30164104944+552

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing

  • 15 May 2026Dalian Zhixing 2–3 Qingdao Youth IslandSuper League
  • 4 October 2025Dalian Zhixing 0–2 Qingdao Youth IslandSuper League
  • 20 April 2025Qingdao Youth Island 2–0 Dalian ZhixingSuper League

Leading scorers: Qingdao Youth Island and Dalian Zhixing

Qingdao Youth Island

No player in Super League's leading scorers — 32 league goals as a side.

Dalian Zhixing

GoalsAssists

  • F. Acheampong124
  • N. Stanciu105

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Dalian Zhixing won 4–0 at Qingdao Youth Island. The model had leaned towards a win for Qingdao Youth Island at 46% and given a win for Dalian Zhixing 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Frank Acheampong 7' for Dalian Zhixing, Frank Acheampong 70' for Dalian Zhixing, Frank Acheampong (penalty) 76' for Dalian Zhixing, Frank Acheampong 87' for Dalian Zhixing.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Qingdao Youth Island a 42.6% chance to finish in the top four: 59.4% after a win, 30.4% after a draw, 16.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 16.3%, 26.3 points lower than before the match.

For Dalian Zhixing the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 59.7% going in: 88.2% after a win, 65.9% after a draw, 44.7% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 88.2%, 28.5 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Super League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Qingdao Youth Island v Dalian Zhixing has moved

First published on 27 Sep at 43% / 30% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 46% / 28% / 26%: the biggest move is Qingdao Youth Island's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Qingdao Youth Island win46%▲ +3
  2. Draw28%▼ −2
  3. Dalian Zhixing win26%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.