Sheffield Wednesday
vs
Blackpool
League One prediction
Our model says: Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 Blackpool
The model makes it 47% Sheffield Wednesday, 27% draw, 26% Blackpool — fair odds of 2.13, 3.70 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Sheffield Wednesday 1.61, Blackpool 1.04.
Both teams to score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 50%, under 2.5: 50%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
Key facts
- Sheffield Wednesday are 6th on 18 points from 9 games; Blackpool are 20th on 8 points from 9 games — League One.
- Sheffield Wednesday are unbeaten in their last 5 games (2 won), most recently a 5-0 win at home to AFC Wimbledon.
- Blackpool have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat away to Leyton Orient.
- Last 6 meetings: Sheffield Wednesday 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 17 September 2024, ended Blackpool 0–1 Sheffield Wednesday.
More League One predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Sheffield Wednesday vs Blackpool
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Sheffield Wednesday at 47% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 1,906 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.7% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Sheffield Wednesday vs Blackpool
Sheffield Wednesday
- W5-0AFC Wimbledon17 October 2026
- D2-2away to Huddersfield10 October 2026
- D0-0Stockport County19 September 2026
- D0-0Wigan12 September 2026
- W2-1away to Peterborough5 September 2026
Blackpool
- L0-2away to Leyton Orient17 October 2026
- L0-1away to Cambridge United10 October 2026
- L2-4Plymouth19 September 2026
- D2-2Bromley12 September 2026
- L1-3away to Reading5 September 2026
What these results say
- Sheffield Wednesday went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Blackpool did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Blackpool conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sheffield Wednesday | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 8 | +12 | 18 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Sheffield Wednesday vs Blackpool
- 17 September 2024Blackpool 0–1 Sheffield WednesdayLeague Cup
- 7 March 2015Blackpool 0–1 Sheffield WednesdayChampionship
- 26 December 2014Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 BlackpoolChampionship
- 1 January 2014Sheffield Wednesday 2–0 BlackpoolChampionship
- 30 November 2013Blackpool 2–0 Sheffield WednesdayChampionship
- 16 April 2013Blackpool 0–0 Sheffield WednesdayChampionship
Leading scorers: Sheffield Wednesday and Blackpool
Sheffield Wednesday
GoalsAssists
- J. Lowe52
Blackpool
No player in League One's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Sheffield Wednesday carry a model rating of 6.32 against 6.2 for Blackpool. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.61 goals for Sheffield Wednesday and 1.04 for Blackpool. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Sheffield Wednesday rate 0.56 in attack and 1.62 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Blackpool rate 0.52 and 1.89.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Sheffield Wednesday a 5% chance of the title and Blackpool 0.1%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,973 correct results out of 4,112 settled predictions (48%), with 412 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Sheffield Wednesday the highest probability at 47%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.61 expected goals for Sheffield Wednesday against 1.04 for Blackpool. Sheffield Wednesday's attack/defence rating is 0.56/1.62 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.52/1.89 for Blackpool.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Sheffield Wednesday at home · Blackpool away
League matches only, League One, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All League One matches this season: Sheffield Wednesday 9, Blackpool 9.
Sheffield Wednesday score most often in the 31–45 minute window (5 goals); Blackpool have let in 2 there.
Blackpool score most often in the 16–30 minute window (4 goals); Sheffield Wednesday have let in 1 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 2 matches, by difficulty
Sheffield Wednesday
- vs Plymouth14 Nov · League Onewin 39%
- at Barnsley20 Nov · League Onewin 41%
Blackpool
- at AFC Wimbledon14 Nov · League Onewin 38%
- vs Wigan21 Nov · League Onewin 43%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.