SHANGHAI SIPG vs Qingdao Jonoon Super League prediction & result
Final score: SHANGHAI SIPG 2-1 Qingdao Jonoon.
Before kick-off the model made it 85% SHANGHAI SIPG, 10% draw, 5% Qingdao Jonoon — fair odds of 1.18, 10.00 and 20.00.
Most likely scoreline: 3-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
SHANGHAI SIPG at 85%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — SHANGHAI SIPG vs Qingdao Jonoon
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Yan JunlingG
- 22A. Yang
- 3Browning TyiasD
- 5Zhang LinpengD
- 28Yue XinD
- 8Jean ClaudeM
- 10Mateus VitalM
- 7Wu LeiM
- 21O. MelendoM
- 17P. O. AmpemM
- 45LeonardoF
- 12Chen WeiG
- 4Wang ShenchaoD
- 19Wang ZhenaoD
- 23Fu HuanD
- 32Li ShuaiD
- 54Wang DongchengD
- 33Liu ZhurunF
- 20Yang ShiyuanD
- 47Kuai JiwenF
- 28Mu PengfeiG
- 16Li HailongD
- 26N. AndjelkovicD
- 3Liu JunshuaiD
- 29Li SudaD
- 7Y. YeboahM
- 8Lin ChuangyiM
- 6M. EdjoumaM
- 34Jin YonghaoM
- 10C. StrandbergF
- 9Liu XinyuF
- 1Liu JunG
- 23Song LongD
- 14Sun Zheng'aoD
- 33Liu JiashenD
- 4Jin YangyangD
- 17Wang QiaoD
- 39S. LiD
- 20Gong RuicongD
- 24Ngan Cheuk-PanM
Form going into SHANGHAI SIPG vs Qingdao Jonoon
SHANGHAI SIPG
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Dalian Zhixing19 August 2026
- W3-2away to Wuhan Three Towns14 August 2026
- W3-2away to Chongqing Tongliang Long9 August 2026
Qingdao Jonoon
All competitions we cover
- L1-3away to Shandong Luneng14 August 2026
- L0-1Shanghai Shenhua8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
China Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 56 | 37 | +19 | 45 |
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: SHANGHAI SIPG vs Qingdao Jonoon
- 2 May 2026Qingdao Jonoon 3–1 SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League
- 17 October 2025Qingdao Jonoon 3–4 SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League
- 9 May 2025SHANGHAI SIPG 3–1 Qingdao JonoonSuper League
- 21 July 2024SHANGHAI SIPG 5–0 Qingdao JonoonSuper League
- 1 May 2024Qingdao Jonoon 0–5 SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League
- 8 August 2023Qingdao Jonoon 0–5 SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League
Leading scorers: SHANGHAI SIPG and Qingdao Jonoon
SHANGHAI SIPG
GoalsAssists
- Leonardo145
Qingdao Jonoon
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 36 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
SHANGHAI SIPG beat Qingdao Jonoon 2–1. The model had made a win for SHANGHAI SIPG its most likely outcome, at 85%, so the call held; the score it named was 3–0. The goals: C. Strandberg 17' for Qingdao Jonoon, Wu Lei 44' for SHANGHAI SIPG, Wu Lei (penalty) 67' for SHANGHAI SIPG. On expected goals it finished 2.00–0.55.