23 August 2026, 12:00 UTC

BSC Young Boys vs FC Vaduz Super League prediction & result

Stadion Wankdorf, Bern
Full time4 – 2

Final score: BSC Young Boys 4-2 FC Vaduz.

Before kick-off the model made it 77% BSC Young Boys, 12% draw, 11% FC Vaduz — fair odds of 1.30, 8.33 and 9.09.

Most likely scoreline: 3-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

BSC Young Boys at 77%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

BSC Young Boys99%Draw1%FC Vaduz0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽J. Monteiroassist: M. K. Sene
4'
25'
⚽M. Cocicassist: N. Hasler
30'
J. Stark
⚽M. K. Seneassist: L. Blum
37'
43'
⚽M. Cocic
46'
J. Cabrera
55'
D. Simani
⚽A. Sanchesassist: D. Pech
57'
60'
N. Hasler
🔁M. K. Seneout: C. Fassnacht
68'
72'
🔁M. Cocicout: D. Schwizer
73'
🔁M. Sawadogoout: M. Eberhard
🔁L. Blumout: S. Janko
80'
🔁J. Monteiroout: S. Lauper
81'
83'
🔁L. Mackout: D. Kasper
⚽A. Gigovicassist: S. Bukinac
87'
🔁A. Sanchesout: E. Etoski
88'
🔁D. Pechout: N. Tschanz
88'
88'
🔁J. Starkout: M. Walker
88'
🔁D. Simaniout: N. Lang

Match stats — BSC Young Boys vs FC Vaduz

41%Possession59%
20Shots16
9On target6
6Corners4
2.19xG1.64

Goals against chances

BSC Young Boys4 from 2.19 xGmore than the chances were worth
FC Vaduz2 from 1.64 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

BSC Young Boys 4-4-2
  • 1Marvin KellerG
  • 27Lewin BlumD
  • 5Gregory WüthrichD
  • 23Loris BenitoD
  • 33Stefan BukinacD
  • 10Alvyn SanchesM
  • 13Dominik PechM
  • 8Armin GigovićM
  • 11Joël MonteiroM
  • 99Samuel EssendeF
  • 9Mamadou Kaly SeneF
Substitutes
  • 16Christian FassnachtM
  • 17Saidy JankoD
  • 30Sandro LauperM
  • 34Edin EtoskiM
  • 52Noe TschanzM
  • 18Joel MallG
  • 3Jaouen HadjamD
  • 66Rhodri SmithD
  • 58Loris MacumiM
Coach: Gerardo Seoane
FC Vaduz 4-3-1-2
  • 25Leon SchaffranG
  • 4Nicolas HaslerD
  • 6Denis SimaniD
  • 5Liridon BerishaD
  • 29Malik SawadogoD
  • 17Julian StarkM
  • 20Luca MackM
  • 10Juan CabreraM
  • 28Miloš CocićM
  • 9Marcel MonsbergerF
  • 11Lutfi DalipiF
Substitutes
  • 7Dominik SchwizerM
  • 22Mischa EberhardM
  • 18Daniel KasperF
  • 27Niklas LangD
  • 30Mattia WalkerM
  • 1Benjamin BüchelG
  • 14Mischa BeeliD
  • 23Mats HammerichM
  • 19Dejan ĐokićF
Coach: Marc Schneider

Form going into BSC Young Boys vs FC Vaduz

BSC Young Boys

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2away to Lausanne8 August 2026
  • W6-0away to FC Thun1 August 2026
  • W4-2FC Sion26 July 2026

FC Vaduz

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2Inter Turku13 August 2026
  • L2-3away to FC Sion9 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Inter Turku6 August 2026
  • L2-3FC St. Gallen2 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Atlètic Club d'Escaldes30 July 2026

What these results say

  • FC Vaduz scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • FC Vaduz failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • FC Vaduz conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Switzerland Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2BSC Young Boys138414125+1628
11FC Vaduz133192429-510

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: BSC Young Boys vs FC Vaduz

  • 13 January 2024BSC Young Boys 3–2 FC VaduzFriendlies Clubs
  • 14 January 2023BSC Young Boys 0–0 FC VaduzFriendlies Clubs
  • 11 May 2021FC Vaduz 0–2 BSC Young BoysSuper League
  • 6 March 2021BSC Young Boys 1–1 FC VaduzSuper League
  • 24 January 2021FC Vaduz 0–0 BSC Young BoysSuper League

Leading scorers: BSC Young Boys and FC Vaduz

BSC Young Boys

GoalsAssists

  • S. Essende153
  • C. Fassnacht61
  • A. Sanches44

FC Vaduz

GoalsAssists

  • M. Monsberger61
  • L. Dalipi59
  • Juan Cabrera50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

BSC Young Boys beat FC Vaduz 4–2. The model had made a win for BSC Young Boys its most likely outcome, at 77%, so the call held; the score it named was 3–1. The goals: J. Monteiro 4' for BSC Young Boys, M. Cocic 25' for FC Vaduz, M. K. Sene 37' for BSC Young Boys, M. Cocic 43' for FC Vaduz, A. Sanches 57' for BSC Young Boys, A. Gigovic 87' for BSC Young Boys. On expected goals it finished 2.19–1.64.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.