23 August 2026, 10:00 UTC

Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland Superliga prediction & result

Haderslev Football Stadium, Haderslev
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Sonderjyske 0-3 FC Nordsjaelland.

Before kick-off the model made it 30% Sonderjyske, 23% draw, 47% FC Nordsjaelland — fair odds of 3.33, 4.35 and 2.13.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Nordsjaelland at 47%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sonderjyske0%Draw1%FC Nordsjaelland99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

22'
J. Janssen
S. Emini
28'
33'
V. Berthelsen
44'
⚽M. Walkerassist: M. Brink
46'
🔁A. Lindout: I. Adel
46'
🔁J. Janssenout: N. Rojkjaer
46'
🔁J. Lahteenmakiout: R. Norheim
60'
⚽M. Walkerassist: I. Adel
🔁S. Eminiout: A. Hoeg
61'
🔁M. Hoppeout: B. Tambedou
61'
🔁M. Haidaraout: D. Wilkins
61'
64'
🔁L. Neneout: H. Rasmussen
🔁B. Bjarnasonout: G. Wagner
74'
I. Seydi
75'
🔁D. L. Gretarssonout: P. Kristensen
82'
85'
🔁M. Brinkout: P. Ankersen
87'
⚽V. Berthelsenassist: H. Rasmussen

Match stats — Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland

38%Possession62%
11Shots25
5On target9
6Corners4
1.22xG2.14

Goals against chances

Sonderjyske0 from 1.22 xGless than the chances were worth
FC Nordsjaelland3 from 2.14 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Sonderjyske 3-4-2-1
  • 1Nicolai FløG
  • 12Maxime SoulasD
  • 25Brynjar Ingi BjarnasonD
  • 4Daníel GrétarssonD
  • 3Alexander MunksgaardM
  • 7Sefer EminiM
  • 33Jacob ChristensenM
  • 23Chidiebube DuruM
  • 31Ismaïl SeydiF
  • 8Mohamed Cherif HaidaraF
  • 9Matthew HoppeF
Substitutes
  • 13Dalton WilkinsD
  • 17Anders HoegM
  • 26Bubacarr TambedouF
  • 30Gustav WagnerD
  • 19Pachanga KristensenD
  • 27Berkant BayrakG
  • 22Andreas OggesenM
  • 6Rasmus VinderslevM
  • 20Tobias KlysnerD
Coach: Fatah Abdirahman
FC Nordsjaelland 3-4-3
  • 13Andreas HansenG
  • 15Stephen AcquahD
  • 3Tobias SalquistD
  • 4Noah MarkmannD
  • 28Markus WalkerM
  • 18Justin JanssenM
  • 6Mark BrinkM
  • 25Juho LähteenmäkiM
  • 29Villum BerthelsenF
  • 11Alexander LindF
  • 17Levy NeneF
Substitutes
  • 14Ibrahim AdelF
  • 23Runar Robinsonn NorheimD
  • 8Nicklas RøjkjærM
  • 40Hjalte Boe RasmussenM
  • 2Peter AnkersenD
  • 22Carljohan ErikssonG
  • 42Matej TukaD
  • 37Lamine SadioM
  • 10Prince Amoako JuniorF
Coach: Jens Olsen

Form going into Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland

Sonderjyske

All competitions we cover

  • L2-3away to Brondby17 August 2026
  • D0-0Viborg7 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Odense3 August 2026
  • L2-3FC Midtjylland26 July 2026

FC Nordsjaelland

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0FC St. Gallen20 August 2026
  • W1-0Silkeborg16 August 2026
  • W5-0Valur Reykjavik13 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Valur Reykjavik6 August 2026
  • W1-0Randers FC2 August 2026

What these results say

  • Sonderjyske did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Sonderjyske conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • FC Nordsjaelland won every one of these 5 matches.
  • FC Nordsjaelland scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • FC Nordsjaelland kept a clean sheet in every one of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Sonderjyske142391933-149
4FC Nordsjaelland146532618+823

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland

  • 17 May 2026Sonderjyske 1–4 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
  • 22 March 2026FC Nordsjaelland 2–0 SonderjyskeSuperliga
  • 8 February 2026FC Nordsjaelland 2–1 SonderjyskeSuperliga
  • 3 August 2025Sonderjyske 3–2 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
  • 23 February 2025FC Nordsjaelland 3–2 SonderjyskeSuperliga

Leading scorers: Sonderjyske and FC Nordsjaelland

Sonderjyske

GoalsAssists

  • M. Haidara50

FC Nordsjaelland

GoalsAssists

  • A. Lind63
  • Ibrahim Adel43
  • H. Boe Rasmussen42

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Nordsjaelland won 3–0 at Sonderjyske. The model had made a win for FC Nordsjaelland its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: M. Walker 44' for FC Nordsjaelland, M. Walker 60' for FC Nordsjaelland, V. Berthelsen 87' for FC Nordsjaelland. On expected goals it finished 1.22–2.14.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.