Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Dalian Zhixing Super League prediction & result
Final score: Chongqing Tongliang Long 0-1 Dalian Zhixing.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Chongqing Tongliang Long, 36% draw, 27% Dalian Zhixing — fair odds of 2.70, 2.78 and 3.70.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Chongqing Tongliang Long at 37%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Dalian Zhixing
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Yao HaoyangG
- 24Liu MingshiD
- 4Yue RuijieD
- 32M. NgadeuD
- 33LucaoD
- 37Wei SuoweiD
- 9G. CimpanuM
- 10I. AmadouM
- 8Li ZhenquanM
- 7Xiang YuwangM
- 11L. DimataF
- 31Wu ZitongG
- 6Jin PengxiangD
- 26He XiaoqiangD
- 38Ruan QilongD
- 3Zhang YingkaiD
- 16Zhang ZhixiongM
- 18Liang WeipengF
- 27Wu YongqiangM
- 21Liu JialeM
- 20Liu WeiguoG
- 38Lu ZhuoyiD
- 24Bi JinhaoD
- 2M. TraoreD
- 22W. MaoD
- 40Liao JintaoM
- 4I. AlimiM
- 7Luo JingM
- 10N. StanciuM
- 27Yang MingruiM
- 30F. AcheampongF
- 1Ge PengG
- 26Huang ZihaoG
- 33Cao HaiqingD
- 12Feng BoxuanD
- 15Wen JiabaoD
- 28Sun KangboD
- 5Peng ShunjieD
- 21Lu PengM
- 8Zhang HuachenM
Form going into Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Dalian Zhixing
Chongqing Tongliang Long
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Qingdao Youth Island14 August 2026
- L2-3SHANGHAI SIPG9 August 2026
Dalian Zhixing
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to SHANGHAI SIPG19 August 2026
- L1-3away to Yunnan Yukun15 August 2026
- W1-0Shenyang Urban8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
China Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 36 |
| 1 | Dalian Zhixing | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 49 | 44 | +5 | 52 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Dalian Zhixing
- 1 May 2026Dalian Zhixing 1–0 Chongqing Tongliang LongSuper League
- 6 October 2024Chongqing Tongliang Long 3–0 Dalian ZhixingLeague One
- 26 May 2024Dalian Zhixing 2–2 Chongqing Tongliang LongLeague One
- 22 October 2023Dalian Zhixing 1–0 Chongqing Tongliang LongLeague Two
- 9 September 2023Chongqing Tongliang Long 2–1 Dalian ZhixingLeague Two
Leading scorers: Chongqing Tongliang Long and Dalian Zhixing
Chongqing Tongliang Long
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 31 league goals as a side.
Dalian Zhixing
GoalsAssists
- F. Acheampong124
- N. Stanciu105
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Dalian Zhixing won 1–0 at Chongqing Tongliang Long. The model had leaned towards a win for Chongqing Tongliang Long at 37% and given a win for Dalian Zhixing 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: Lu Zhuoyi 63' for Dalian Zhixing. On expected goals it finished 0.49–0.57.