FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893 Super League prediction & result
Final score: FC Zurich 1-2 FC Basel 1893.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% FC Zurich, 27% draw, 42% FC Basel 1893 — fair odds of 3.23, 3.70 and 2.38.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
FC Basel 1893 at 42%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13Heinz LindnerG
- 3Selmin HodzaD
- 2Lindrit KamberiD
- 42Alexander HackD
- 44Sebastian WalkerD
- 21Leandro SchödlerM
- 11Umeh EmmanuelM
- 38Miguel ReichmuthM
- 7Bledian KrasniqiM
- 17Kevin SpadanudaM
- 19Philippe KenyF
- 27Ilan SauterD
- 9Juan José PereaF
- 8Livano ComenenciaM
- 18Mohamed BangouraM
- 29Damienus ReversonF
- 60Tyrese PinthusG
- 22Chris KablanD
- 23Valon BerishaM
- 14Nevio Di GiustoM
- 13Mirko SalviG
- 6Keigo TsunemotoD
- 24Flavius DaniliucD
- 55Akpe VictoryD
- 29Moussa CisséD
- 5MetinhoM
- 4Bećir OmeragićM
- 8Ludwig ThorellM
- 18Asane SowF
- 9Žan CelarF
- 11Kazeem OlaigbeF
- 10Xherdan ShaqiriM
- 17Aaron MaloudaF
- 49Renato Widmer D'AutiliaG
- 3Nicolas VouillozD
- 27Kevin RüeggD
- 44Jonas HarderM
- 14Andrej BačaninM
- 41Jean DoucoureM
- 37Giacomo KolotoF
Form going into FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893
FC Zurich
All competitions we cover
- L0-5away to FC Lugano9 August 2026
- W2-1Servette FC1 August 2026
- L1-2away to FC St. Gallen26 July 2026
FC Basel 1893
All competitions we cover
- W4-2FC Thun9 August 2026
- L0-1Lausanne1 August 2026
- W1-0away to Servette FC25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Switzerland Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | FC Zurich | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Basel 1893 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893
- 8 February 2026FC Basel 1893 2–1 FC ZurichSuper League
- 25 January 2026FC Zurich 3–4 FC Basel 1893Super League
- 29 October 2025FC Basel 1893 2–0 FC ZurichSuper League
- 12 April 2025FC Zurich 0–4 FC Basel 1893Super League
- 2 February 2025FC Zurich 0–1 FC Basel 1893Super League
Leading scorers: FC Zurich and FC Basel 1893
FC Zurich
GoalsAssists
- U. Emmanuel63
- P. Keny61
FC Basel 1893
GoalsAssists
- Ž. Celar82
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Basel 1893 won 2–1 at FC Zurich. The model had made a win for FC Basel 1893 its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Philippe Keny (penalty) 8' for FC Zurich, Kazeem Olaigbe 62' for FC Basel 1893, Žan Celar (penalty) 85' for FC Basel 1893. On expected goals it finished 1.12–1.64.