Shandong Luneng
vs
Tianjin Teda
Super League prediction & result
Final score: Shandong Luneng 2-1 Tianjin Teda.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Shandong Luneng, 25% draw, 28% Tianjin Teda — fair odds of 2.13, 4.00 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Shandong Luneng 1.69, Tianjin Teda 1.27.
Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 57%, under 2.5: 43%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Shandong Luneng
- W1-0away to SHANGHAI SIPG1 August 2026
- L1-2Henan Jianye26 July 2026
- L1-3away to Dalian Zhixing18 July 2026
- W4-3Yunnan Yukun10 July 2026
Tianjin Teda
- W3-2Yunnan Yukun1 August 2026
- W2-0away to Qingdao Jonoon25 July 2026
- W2-0away to Shanghai Shenhua18 July 2026
- W3-0Sichuan Jiuniu4 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shandong Luneng | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 37 | +2 | 30 |
| 14 | Tianjin Teda | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 26 | +4 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full tables
Leading scorers
Shandong Luneng
- Cryzan12 goals5 assists
- Zeca9 goals4 assists
Tianjin Teda
- Alberto Quiles9 goals3 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Shandong Luneng the highest probability at 47%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.69 expected goals for Shandong Luneng against 1.27 for Tianjin Teda. Shandong Luneng's attack/defence rating is 0.58/1.74 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.52/1.54 for Tianjin Teda.