Henan Jianye
vs
Qingdao Youth Island
Super League prediction & result
Final score: Henan Jianye 0-0 Qingdao Youth Island.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Henan Jianye, 34% draw, 30% Qingdao Youth Island — fair odds of 2.78, 2.94 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Henan Jianye 0.95, Qingdao Youth Island 0.84.
Both teams to score: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%, under 2.5: 73%.
Model confidence: Low.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Henan Jianye
- D1-1Dalian Zhixing31 July 2026
- W2-1away to Shandong Luneng26 July 2026
- W5-1Qingdao Jonoon17 July 2026
- L1-2away to Yunnan Yukun3 July 2026
Qingdao Youth Island
- W2-0Qingdao Jonoon2 August 2026
- W1-0away to Shenyang Urban25 July 2026
- D1-1Chengdu Better City17 July 2026
- L0-3away to Sichuan Jiuniu11 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Henan Jianye | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 25 | +1 | 23 |
| 2 | Qingdao Youth Island | 22 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 32 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full tables
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Henan Jianye the highest probability at 36%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.95 expected goals for Henan Jianye against 0.84 for Qingdao Youth Island. Henan Jianye's attack/defence rating is 0.41/1.58 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.38/1.22 for Qingdao Youth Island.