Servette FC
vs
Grasshoppers
The model makes it 62% Servette FC, 23% draw, 15% Grasshoppers — fair odds of 1.61, 4.35 and 6.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (13%).
Expected goals: Servette FC 1.81, Grasshoppers 0.77.
Both teams to score: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%, under 2.5: 52%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Servette FC
- L1-2away to FC Zurich1 August 2026
- L0-1FC Basel 189325 July 2026
Grasshoppers
- L1-4FC Lugano2 August 2026
- D1-1away to Lausanne25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Servette FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 9 | Grasshoppers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Servette FC vs Grasshoppers
- 3 May 2026Grasshoppers 0–2 Servette FCSuper League
- 21 March 2026Servette FC 5–0 GrasshoppersSuper League
- 6 December 2025Grasshoppers 0–1 Servette FCSuper League
- 10 August 2025Servette FC 1–1 GrasshoppersSuper League
- 16 February 2025Grasshoppers 1–2 Servette FCSuper League
- 1 February 2025Servette FC 1–1 GrasshoppersSuper League
The two sides
Servette FC carry a model rating of 6.61 against 6.35 for Grasshoppers. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Servette FC L-L; Grasshoppers D-L.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.81 goals for Servette FC and 0.77 for Grasshoppers. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Servette FC rate 0.70 in attack and 1.14 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Grasshoppers rate 0.48 and 1.37.
That points to 48% for over two and a half goals and 45% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%).
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Grasshoppers, while our numbers lean the other way. The model weights recent expected goals rather than results already banked, so it moves before the table does.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 207 correct results out of 443 settled predictions (47%), with 42 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Servette FC the highest probability at 62%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.81 expected goals for Servette FC against 0.77 for Grasshoppers. Servette FC's attack/defence rating is 0.7/1.14 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.48/1.37 for Grasshoppers.