SC Kriens vs FC WIL 1900 Challenge League prediction & result
Final score: SC Kriens 1-1 FC WIL 1900.
Before kick-off the model made it 57% SC Kriens, 24% draw, 19% FC WIL 1900 — fair odds of 1.75, 4.17 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Challenge League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts SC Kriens at 57% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 872 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Form going into SC Kriens vs FC WIL 1900
SC Kriens
- W4-1Étoile Carouge18 September 2026
- D2-2away to FC Aarau12 September 2026
- L0-2Stade Lausanne-Ouchy4 September 2026
- D1-1away to Rapperswil1 September 2026
FC WIL 1900
- W5-0Stade Nyonnais18 September 2026
- L0-4away to Stade Lausanne-Ouchy11 September 2026
- D1-1away to Étoile Carouge4 September 2026
- D2-2FC Aarau31 August 2026
What these results say
- SC Kriens conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- SC Kriens failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- SC Kriens scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- FC WIL 1900 failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- FC WIL 1900 scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- FC WIL 1900 conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Challenge League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | SC Kriens | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 12 | +5 | 15 |
| 8 | FC WIL 1900 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: SC Kriens vs FC WIL 1900
- 9 October 2026SC Kriens 1–1 FC WIL 1900Challenge League
- 22 August 2026FC WIL 1900 0–2 SC KriensChallenge League
- 16 August 2025SC Kriens 2–3 FC WIL 1900Schweizer Cup
- 20 January 2023FC WIL 1900 2–0 SC KriensFriendlies Clubs
- 9 April 2022SC Kriens 2–1 FC WIL 1900Challenge League
- 1 March 2022FC WIL 1900 3–1 SC KriensChallenge League
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.