Rapperswil vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Challenge League prediction & result
Final score: Rapperswil 0-3 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Rapperswil, 28% draw, 41% Stade Lausanne-Ouchy — fair odds of 3.23, 3.57 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Challenge League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Stade Lausanne-Ouchy at 41% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Form going into Rapperswil vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Rapperswil
- W3-0away to Neuchatel Xamax FC18 September 2026
- W2-0Yverdon Sport11 September 2026
- L2-3away to FC Aarau4 September 2026
- D1-1SC Kriens1 September 2026
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
- D0-0away to Yverdon Sport20 September 2026
- W4-0FC WIL 190011 September 2026
- W2-0away to SC Kriens4 September 2026
- W3-0Étoile Carouge1 September 2026
What these results say
- Rapperswil scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Stade Lausanne-Ouchy went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Stade Lausanne-Ouchy kept a clean sheet in every one of these 4 matches.
- Stade Lausanne-Ouchy won 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Challenge League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rapperswil | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 10 |
| 1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 3 | +17 | 24 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rapperswil vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
- 9 October 2026Rapperswil 0–3 Stade Lausanne-OuchyChallenge League
- 7 August 2026Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2–0 RapperswilChallenge League
- 7 April 2026Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1–2 RapperswilChallenge League
- 24 January 2026Rapperswil 1–0 Stade Lausanne-OuchyChallenge League
- 6 December 2025Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 0–2 RapperswilChallenge League
- 22 August 2025Rapperswil 1–2 Stade Lausanne-OuchyChallenge League
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.