Talleres Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Talleres Cordoba 1-3 Velez Sarsfield.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Talleres Cordoba, 25% draw, 28% Velez Sarsfield — fair odds of 2.13, 4.00 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Talleres Cordoba at 47% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Talleres Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 32Ezequiel UnsaínG
- 20Augusto SchottD
- 44Santiago FernandezD
- 13Valentín FascendiniD
- 2Timoteo ChamorroM
- 8Federico FattoriM
- 5Matias GalarzaM
- 23Gabriel BáezM
- 19Franco CristaldoF
- 37RickF
- 77Ronaldo MartinezF
- 36Emiliano ChiavassaF
- 11Valentin DepietriF
- 99Bruno BarticciottoF
- 28Alex VigoD
- 49Valentin DavilaF
- 1Santino BarbiG
- 25Thiago BaroniM
- 35Gonzalo NuccioD
- 10Giovanni BaroniM
- 1Tomás MarchioriG
- 4Joaquín GarcíaD
- 32Thiago SilveroD
- 16Lisandro MagallánD
- 3Elías GómezD
- 29Rodrigo AliendroM
- 5Claudio BaezaM
- 48Luca FelerM
- 11Matías PellegriniM
- 22Manuel LanziniM
- 15Dilan GodoyF
- 39Thiago AguirreF
- 18Simon EscobarD
- 8Lucas RobertoneM
- 2Emanuel MammanaD
- 10Diego ValdésM
- 34Alvaro BussoG
- 42Agustin CortezG
- 47Alexis PereyraD
- 19Leo CristaldoD
Form going into Talleres Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield
Talleres Cordoba
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Newell's Old Boys25 July 2026
Velez Sarsfield
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Instituto Cordoba24 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 23 | 13 | +10 | 27 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Talleres Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield
- 27 January 2026Velez Sarsfield 2–1 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 1 November 2025Velez Sarsfield 0–1 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 18 April 2025Talleres Cordoba 0–1 Velez SarsfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
- 21 July 2024Velez Sarsfield 3–0 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 30 March 2024Talleres Cordoba 1–0 Velez SarsfieldCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 5 November 2023Velez Sarsfield 1–1 Talleres CordobaCopa de la Liga Profesional
Leading scorers: Talleres Cordoba and Velez Sarsfield
Talleres Cordoba
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
Velez Sarsfield
GoalsAssists
- R. Martínez132
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Velez Sarsfield won 3–1 at Talleres Cordoba. The model had leaned towards a win for Talleres Cordoba at 47% and given a win for Velez Sarsfield 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Ronaldo Martinez 27' for Talleres Cordoba, Rodrigo Aliendro 45' for Velez Sarsfield, Thiago Silvero 79' for Velez Sarsfield, Diego Valdés 90' for Velez Sarsfield. On expected goals it finished 1.77–1.14.