SC Braga vs Austria Vienna UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: SC Braga 2-0 Austria Vienna.
Before kick-off the model made it 70% SC Braga, 22% draw, 8% Austria Vienna — fair odds of 1.43, 4.55 and 12.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts SC Braga at 70% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 277 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — SC Braga vs Austria Vienna
Line-ups
- 31BernardoG
- 14G. LagerbielkeD
- 6Vitor CarvalhoD
- 44A. BajramiD
- 2V. GomezM
- 34D. E. TiknazM
- 8J. MoutinhoM
- 11Gabriel SilvaM
- 23D. HuseinbasicF
- 10P. VictorF
- 9F. NavarroF
- 78J. CarvalhoG
- 12T. SaG
- 5L. LeloD
- 22Sergio BarciaD
- 53J. Noro
- 37A. BarisicD
- 7TravassosD
- 50D. RodriguesM
- 87J. TroviscoM
- 1S. Sahin-RadlingerG
- 46J. HandlD
- 15A. DragovicD
- 3I. BuhariD
- 26R. RanftlM
- 6P. MaybachM
- 7V. MarkovicM
- 17Lee Tae-SeokM
- 30M. FischerF
- 20J. HettwerF
- 19J. EggesteinF
- 13L. WedlG
- 99M. KosG
- 40D. NnodimD
- 21M. SchablasM
- 4J. FeddersenD
- 22F. WustingerM
- 10S. SaljicM
- 16Lee Kang-HeeM
- 37M. WelsM
Form going into SC Braga vs Austria Vienna
SC Braga
- D0-0away to Dinamo Minsk13 August 2026
- D2-2away to Moreirense9 August 2026
- W1-0Dinamo Minsk6 August 2026
- W4-0Železničar Pančevo30 July 2026
- W1-0away to Železničar Pančevo22 July 2026
Austria Vienna
- W2-0away to TSV Hartberg16 August 2026
What these results say
- SC Braga went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- SC Braga scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- SC Braga kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
SC Braga and Austria Vienna in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | SC Braga | Primeira Liga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 | Austria Vienna | Bundesliga | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Primeira Liga · Bundesliga
Leading scorers: SC Braga and Austria Vienna
SC Braga
- Pau Victor3 goals1 assist
Austria Vienna
- M. Fischer2 goals1 assist
- J. Hettwer2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.