20 August 2026, 18:30 UTC

Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

New Balance Arena, Bergamo
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Atalanta 0-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv.

Before kick-off the model made it 86% Atalanta, 10% draw, 4% Hapoel Tel Aviv — fair odds of 1.16, 10.00 and 25.00.

Most likely scoreline: 3-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League Playoff round tie. Second leg: Hapoel Tel Aviv v Atalanta, 27 Aug →

Atalanta went through 1–0 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

Atalanta at 86%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Atalanta9%Draw89%Hapoel Tel Aviv2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁G. Scalviniout: T. Kristensen
26'
32'
Andrian Kraev
Giacomo Raspadori
48'
54'
Omri Altman
🔁G. Scamaccaout: N. Krstovic
63'
63'
🔁O. Altmanout: X. Silva
63'
🔁D. Owusuout: M. Buskila
75'
🔁E. Boatengout: D. Dappa
🔁L. Samardzicout: M. Pasalic
78'
🔁N. Zalewskiout: F. Cassa
78'
89'
🔁M. Cocoout: S. Piven
89'
🔁R. Alkoukinout: A. Lemkin

Match stats — Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

62%Possession38%
9Shots7
5On target4
3Corners1

Line-ups

Atalanta 4-3-3
  • 29M. CarnesecchiG
  • 16R. BellanovaD
  • 3O. KossounouD
  • 42G. ScalviniD
  • 47L. BernasconiD
  • 10L. SamardzicM
  • 70G. GaetanoM
  • 13EdersonM
  • 59N. ZalewskiF
  • 9G. ScamaccaF
  • 18G. RaspadoriF
Substitutes
  • 57M. SportielloG
  • 95P. VismaraG
  • 23S. KolasinacD
  • 77D. ZappacostaD
  • 40R. ObricD
  • 31T. KristensenD
  • 6I. SulemanaM
  • 15M. De RoonM
  • 8M. PasalicM
Coach: Maurizio Sarri
Hapoel Tel Aviv 4-2-3-1
  • 22A. Tzur
  • 97M. CocoD
  • 5F. MayemboD
  • 4ChicoD
  • 16D. LeidnerD
  • 98FalcaoM
  • 6A. KraevM
  • 35D. OwusuM
  • 15R. Alkoukin
  • 51O. AltmanM
  • 9E. BoatengF
Substitutes
  • 13R. BaranesG
  • 1D. BenyaminiG
  • 21S. PivenD
  • 20O. IsraelovD
  • 18T. ArchelD
  • 14E. Y. KancepolskyM
  • 8Y. FerberM
  • 23A. LemkinM
  • 10X. SilvaF
Coach: Elyaniv Barda

Form going into Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

Atalanta

No earlier matches on record this season.

Hapoel Tel Aviv

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to GKS Katowice12 August 2026
  • W2-0GKS Katowice6 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Ludogorets30 July 2026
  • W2-0Ludogorets23 July 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Atalanta and Hapoel Tel Aviv in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
16AtalantaUEFA Europa Conference League31114404
1Hapoel Tel AvivLigat Ha'al10811216+1525

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa Conference League · Ligat Ha'al

Leading scorers: Atalanta and Hapoel Tel Aviv

Atalanta

No player in UEFA Europa Conference League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.

Hapoel Tel Aviv

GoalsAssists

  • R. Alkokin32
  • E. Boateng32
  • D. Dappa31

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Atalanta and Hapoel Tel Aviv drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Atalanta at 86% and given a draw 10%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 10 matches like this one.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.