Gent vs Hibernian UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Gent 0-0 Hibernian.
Before kick-off the model made it 89% Gent, 8% draw, 3% Hibernian — fair odds of 1.12, 12.50 and 33.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 3-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gent at 89% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 277 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gent vs Hibernian
Line-ups
- 33D. RoefG
- 5M. NgomD
- 44S. Van Der HeydenD
- 16C. BurgessD
- 20T. AraujoD
- 57M. Volckaert
- 17M. DelorgeM
- 27T. De VliegerM
- 8L. BenesM
- 47J. VergaraF
- 11M. SonkoF
- 30K. PeersmanG
- 3M. PaskotsiD
- 10A. OmgbaM
- 14K. WilsonM
- 22L. LopesM
- 28M. El AdfaouiM
- 37A. KadriM
- 39A. AyindeD
- 56M. Diallo
- 1R. SallingerG
- 25F. PasslackM
- 5W. O'HoraD
- 6J. KerrD
- 3A. MayorM
- 8J. MulliganM
- 14M. ChaiwaM
- 21J. ObitaD
- 7O. EldingF
- 9N. LoweF
- 32J. CampbellM
- 13J. SmithG
- 35F. OwensG
- 4G. HanleyD
- 10M. BoyleF
- 11J. NewellM
- 15J. IredaleD
- 17J. McGrathM
- 19N. CaddenM
- 22A. SutoF
Form going into Gent vs Hibernian
Gent
- W2-1away to RAAL La Louvière16 August 2026
- D1-1IFK Goteborg13 August 2026
- W2-0KV Mechelen9 August 2026
- W1-0away to IFK Goteborg6 August 2026
- D0-0LNZ Cherkasy30 July 2026
Hibernian
- D0-0away to Shkendija13 August 2026
- W2-1away to Rangers9 August 2026
- W2-1Shkendija6 August 2026
- L1-2Motherwell2 August 2026
- W4-1Malisheva30 July 2026
What these results say
- Gent went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Gent scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Gent had two goals or fewer.
- Hibernian scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Hibernian conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Hibernian had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Gent and Hibernian in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gent | Jupiler Pro League | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 19 |
| 10 | Hibernian | Premiership | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Jupiler Pro League · Premiership
Leading scorers: Gent and Hibernian
Gent
- J. Y. Vergara Ortega3 goals
Hibernian
- M. Boyle3 goals
- C. Wright2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.