Drita vs Inter Club d'Escaldes UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Drita 2-2 Inter Club d'Escaldes.
Before kick-off the model made it 73% Drita, 15% draw, 12% Inter Club d'Escaldes — fair odds of 1.37, 6.67 and 8.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Drita at 73% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 277 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Drita vs Inter Club d'Escaldes
Line-ups
- 1F. MalokuG
- 55H. SalihuD
- 25A. BytyciD
- 32J. PellumbiD
- 26R. OvoukaD
- 24W. BaetenM
- 8V. LimajM
- 2B. KrasniqiD
- 93K. NguenaM
- 7I. JashariM
- 19B. KrasniqiF
- 3B. ShejiD
- 4R. BrojaM
- 9A. ManajF
- 10L. BalajM
- 22L. BehluliG
- 23E. RrocaM
- 28A. MjakiD
- 74E. Isufi
- 99M. ArthurM
- 13J. DiazG
- 24M. PochettinoD
- 2A. H. HernandezD
- 4A. SanchezD
- 3J. Torres
- 8David LopezM
- 14A. Otegui
- 19ModricM
- 11D. BerlangaM
- 9F. ChouaibF
- 31Soule
- 1J. BecerraG
- 6V. AlonsoM
- 7J. CamaraM
- 17Dacu
- 20M. JuradoD
- 21M. RodriguezD
- 23L. DiabyM
- 70B. ArellanoF
Form going into Drita vs Inter Club d'Escaldes
Drita
- W5-0Tre Fiori13 August 2026
- W4-1away to Tre Fiori6 August 2026
- W2-1Floriana28 July 2026
- D1-1away to Floriana21 July 2026
Inter Club d'Escaldes
- W4-0away to Flora Tallinn13 August 2026
- W2-0Flora Tallinn6 August 2026
What these results say
- Drita went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Drita scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Drita won 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.