20 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Stadion Rajko Mit, Belgrade
Full time3 – 0

Final score: FK Crvena Zvezda 3-0 Plzen.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% FK Crvena Zvezda, 26% draw, 42% Plzen — fair odds of 3.13, 3.85 and 2.38.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa League Play-offs tie. Second leg: Plzen v FK Crvena Zvezda, 27 Aug →

Plzen went through 5–4 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

Plzen at 42%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FK Crvena Zvezda99%Draw1%Plzen0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Young-woo Seol
31'
⚽M. Ivanicassist: T. Elsnik
36'
45+3'
Cheick Souaré
46'
🔁C. Souareout: C. Kabongo
⚽M. Ivanicassist: T. Elsnik
53'
61'
🔁T. Ladraout: S. Pirgic
🔁M. Arnautovicout: J. Enem
72'
🔁M. Ivanicout: A. Katai
72'
73'
🔁F. Prebslout: D. Visinsky
73'
🔁P. Aduout: M. Vydra
77'
Patrik Hrošovský
Vasilije Kostov
81'
84'
Sampson Dweh
🔁V. Kostovout: M. Bajo
84'
🔁D. Luckassenout: F. Tebo Uchenna
85'
86'
🔁D. Krcikout: K. Spacil
88'
Karel Spáčil
⚽A. Katai (pen)
89'
•Aleksandar Katai
90'
🔁O. Bukariout: L. Loizou
90'

Match stats — FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen

50%Possession50%
7On target5
1Corners2

Line-ups

FK Crvena Zvezda 4-3-3
  • 1MatheusG
  • 66Seol Young-WooD
  • 32D. LuckassenD
  • 13M. VeljkovicD
  • 21T. ElsnikM
  • 4M. IvanicM
  • 33R. KrunicM
  • 22V. KostovM
  • 14O. BukariM
  • 7M. ArnautovicF
  • 70M. ChamM
Substitutes
  • 5RodrigoD
  • 6M. BajoM
  • 9J. EnemF
  • 10A. KataiM
  • 30F. Tebo UchennaD
  • 37V. LucicM
  • 45S. GudeljD
  • 50S. RadanovicG
  • 60M. GashtarovM
Coach: Albert Riera
Plzen 4-4-1-1
  • 44F. WiegeleG
  • 99A. MemicM
  • 40S. DwehD
  • 37D. KrcikD
  • 14M. DoskiD
  • 18T. LadraF
  • 6L. CervM
  • 98F. PrebslD
  • 19C. SouareM
  • 17P. HrosovskyM
  • 80P. AduF
Substitutes
  • 1D. TapajG
  • 5K. SpacilD
  • 7S. LawalF
  • 9D. VisinskyM
  • 10M. ToureF
  • 11M. VydraF
  • 12A. SojkaM
  • 20J. PanosM
  • 23B. FaalF
Coach: Martin Hysky

Form going into FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen

FK Crvena Zvezda

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2Hapoel Beer Sheva11 August 2026
  • W2-0Novi Pazar8 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Hapoel Beer Sheva4 August 2026
  • W5-0Larne29 July 2026
  • W4-0away to Larne21 July 2026

Plzen

All competitions we cover

  • W3-2Zlin15 August 2026
  • D5-5away to Teplice8 August 2026
  • D1-1Zbrojovka Brno1 August 2026
  • L1-3Slovan Liberec25 July 2026

What these results say

  • Plzen scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Plzen conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Both sides scored in every one of these 4 matches for Plzen.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

The result against the call

FK Crvena Zvezda beat Plzen 3–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Plzen at 42% and given a win for FK Crvena Zvezda 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: M. Ivanic 36' for FK Crvena Zvezda, M. Ivanic 53' for FK Crvena Zvezda, A. Katai (penalty) 89' for FK Crvena Zvezda.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.