FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: FK Crvena Zvezda 3-0 Plzen.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% FK Crvena Zvezda, 26% draw, 42% Plzen — fair odds of 3.13, 3.85 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Plzen at 42% here. Across 2861 settled matches, 1319 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen
FK Crvena Zvezda
- L0-2Hapoel Beer Sheva11 August 2026
- W2-0Novi Pazar8 August 2026
- L0-1away to Hapoel Beer Sheva4 August 2026
- W5-0Larne29 July 2026
- W4-0away to Larne21 July 2026
Plzen
- W3-2Zlin15 August 2026
- D5-5away to Teplice8 August 2026
- D1-1Zbrojovka Brno1 August 2026
- L1-3Slovan Liberec25 July 2026
What these results say
- Plzen scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Plzen conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Both sides scored in every one of these 4 matches for Plzen.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
FK Crvena Zvezda and Plzen in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Crvena Zvezda | Super Liga | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 3 | +21 | 28 |
| 34 | Plzen | UEFA Europa League | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Super Liga · UEFA Europa League
Leading scorers: FK Crvena Zvezda and Plzen
FK Crvena Zvezda
- V. Kostov4 goals1 assists
- M. Abu Fani2 goals2 assists
Plzen
No league goals yet this season.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.