Sarpsborg 08 FF vs KFUM Oslo Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-3 KFUM Oslo.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Sarpsborg 08 FF, 29% draw, 28% KFUM Oslo — fair odds of 2.33, 3.45 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Sarpsborg 08 FF at 43% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sarpsborg 08 FF vs KFUM Oslo
Line-ups
- 87L. ØyG
- 12C. NiyukuriD
- 4B. UtvikD
- 2M. LodeD
- 21A. HiimD
- 6A. SherM
- 10S. SørliM
- 8S. ChristiansenM
- 77O. SkarsemM
- 22V. HalvorsenM
- 11D. KarlsbakkF
- 18Bop GueyeM
- 5L. HøylandD
- 1J. PrytsG
- 33A. NibeM
- 20P. ReinhardsenD
- 24S. RostedD
- 32E. WichneD
- 17N. WilliamsM
- 50M. M. EidalD
- 1E. ØdegaardG
- 24H. RøstenD
- 5F. BerglieD
- 13B. SkaretD
- 14H. HosethM
- 19E. SaunesM
- 9M. VinjorM
- 16J. HjorthM
- 11O. VistedF
- 22B. KristensenF
- 10B. NjieF
- 17J. GonstadF
- 42D. HicksonF
- 25H. JensenG
- 33A. NouriD
- 21S. SjøkvistD
- 8B. TobiassenM
- 18R. VingeF
- 6J. FlatenM
- 23M. EikremM
Form going into Sarpsborg 08 FF vs KFUM Oslo
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Eliteserien
- D1-1away to Fredrikstad13 September 2026
KFUM Oslo
Eliteserien
- W2-1Aalesund13 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 31 |
| 8 | KFUM Oslo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 30 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sarpsborg 08 FF vs KFUM Oslo
- 26 April 2026KFUM Oslo 1–0 Sarpsborg 08 FFEliteserien
- 25 October 2025Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–1 KFUM OsloEliteserien
- 21 April 2025KFUM Oslo 1–3 Sarpsborg 08 FFEliteserien
- 23 February 2025KFUM Oslo 1–1 Sarpsborg 08 FFFriendlies Clubs
- 3 November 2024KFUM Oslo 1–2 Sarpsborg 08 FFEliteserien
Leading scorers: Sarpsborg 08 FF and KFUM Oslo
Sarpsborg 08 FF
GoalsAssists
- D. Karlsbakk71
KFUM Oslo
GoalsAssists
- B. Njie71
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
KFUM Oslo won 3–1 at Sarpsborg 08 FF. The model had leaned towards a win for Sarpsborg 08 FF at 43% and given a win for KFUM Oslo 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Bjorn Martin Kristensen 24' for KFUM Oslo, Daniel Seland Karlsbakk (penalty) 45+1' for Sarpsborg 08 FF, Hakon Helland Hoseth 45+2' for KFUM Oslo, Julian Bakkeli Gonstad 73' for KFUM Oslo.
How the call on Sarpsborg 08 FF v KFUM Oslo has moved
First published on 4 Sep at 46% / 27% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 43% / 29% / 28%: the biggest move is Sarpsborg 08 FF's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- Sarpsborg 08 FF win43%▼ −3
- Draw29%▲ +2
- KFUM Oslo win28%▲ +1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.