Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Defensa Y Justicia Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Central Cordoba de Santiago 2-2 Defensa Y Justicia.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Central Cordoba de Santiago, 29% draw, 40% Defensa Y Justicia — fair odds of 3.23, 3.45 and 2.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Liga Profesional Argentina predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Defensa Y Justicia at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Defensa Y Justicia
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1A. AguerreG
- 33S. MoyanoD
- 2A. R. MacielD
- 6F. MansillaD
- 20F. MartinezD
- 22M. VeraM
- 18L. GonzalezM
- 7D. BarreraM
- 10M. IacobellisM
- 11H. TijanovichM
- 47M. CuitinoF
- 25J. VallejosG
- 21F. AguilarD
- 17Y. CasermeiroD
- 3L. MarchiD
- 42J. PignaniD
- 5T. CraveroM
- 55J. CardozoM
- 30F. RodriguezM
- 19E. NayaF
- 1M. BorgognoG
- 28V. LozaD
- 29D. FernandezD
- 21D. MartinezD
- 3F. RomanD
- 8C. PerezM
- 15S. SosaM
- 19D. BarbonaM
- 26J. LuccoF
- 9L. FernandezF
- 24J. GutierrezF
- 36L. AmadeG
- 16A. PortilloM
- 32N. RoselliD
- 6E. BurdinD
- 30D. DominguezD
- 5J. LopezM
- 17A. HauschF
- 22M. PorcelM
- 41R. GagliardiF
Form going into Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Defensa Y Justicia
Central Cordoba de Santiago
All competitions we cover
- L1-3away to Boca Juniors12 September 2026
- L0-1Independiente6 September 2026
- D0-0away to Talleres Cordoba30 August 2026
- L1-2away to Tigre24 August 2026
- L0-1Instituto Cordoba16 August 2026
Defensa Y Justicia
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Gimnasia Mendoza11 September 2026
- L0-1away to Lanus6 September 2026
- W1-0Platense31 August 2026
- W2-1away to Belgrano Cordoba23 August 2026
- D1-1away to Velez Sarsfield17 August 2026
What these results say
- Central Cordoba de Santiago did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Central Cordoba de Santiago conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Defensa Y Justicia scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Defensa Y Justicia had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 10 |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 13 | +7 | 27 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Defensa Y Justicia
- 12 March 2026Defensa Y Justicia 1–1 Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 28 July 2025Central Cordoba de Santiago 2–1 Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 3 February 2025Defensa Y Justicia 2–1 Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 11 August 2024Central Cordoba de Santiago 2–0 Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 20 February 2024Defensa Y Justicia 1–1 Central Cordoba de SantiagoCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 24 September 2023Central Cordoba de Santiago 2–1 Defensa Y JusticiaCopa de la Liga Profesional
The full Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Defensa Y Justicia record →
Leading scorers: Central Cordoba de Santiago and Defensa Y Justicia
Central Cordoba de Santiago
GoalsAssists
- M. Santos92
Defensa Y Justicia
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 20 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Central Cordoba de Santiago and Defensa Y Justicia drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Defensa Y Justicia at 40% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: J. Lucco 36' for Defensa Y Justicia, L. Fernandez 53' for Defensa Y Justicia, M. Iacobellis 71' for Central Cordoba de Santiago, L. Sequeira (penalty) 90' for Central Cordoba de Santiago. On expected goals it finished 1.61–1.99.
How the call on Central Cordoba de Santiago v Defensa Y Justicia has moved
First published on 4 Sep at 37% / 28% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 31% / 29% / 40%: the biggest move is Central Cordoba de Santiago's chance of winning, down 6 points.
- Central Cordoba de Santiago win31%▼ −6
- Draw29%▲ +1
- Defensa Y Justicia win40%▲ +5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.