Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva Ligat Ha'al prediction & result
Final score: Hapoel Tel Aviv 3-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Hapoel Tel Aviv, 31% draw, 25% Hapoel Petah Tikva — fair odds of 2.27, 3.23 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Israeli Ligat Ha'al predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hapoel Tel Aviv at 44% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
Line-ups
- 22A. TzurG
- 97M. CocoD
- 5F. MayemboD
- 4ChicoD
- 32Y. LeliendalD
- 98FalcãoM
- 14E. KancepolskyM
- 35D. OwusuM
- 15R. AlkokinM
- 51O. AltmanM
- 9E. BoatengF
- 17I. ShavitM
- 27M. BuskilaF
- 1Dor BenyaminiG
- 18T. ArchelD
- 44D. DappaF
- 8Y. FerberM
- 7R. KorineF
- 16D. LeidnerD
- 21S. PivenD
- 1O. KatzG
- 12S. IsraeliD
- 5A. Moucketou-MoussoundaD
- 4D. ArroyoD
- 72Y. NassarD
- 16R. DavidM
- 29B. GontranM
- 2A. CohenM
- 26K. KimvuidiM
- 77CléM
- 9E. BilleF
- 34Omri CohenF
- 28Noam CohenM
- 6Etai EhudM
- 20O. IsraelovD
- 11H. KeytaF
- 7R. LevyM
- 18A. MashiahG
- 24G. BadashF
- 3H. ShalomD
Form going into Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Ligat Ha'al
- L1-4away to Maccabi Tel Aviv14 September 2026
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Ligat Ha'al
- L0-2Hapoel Beer Sheva13 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | +13 | 19 |
| 12 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14 | -12 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
- 12 May 2026Hapoel Tel Aviv 1–0 Hapoel Petah TikvaLigat Ha'al
- 25 April 2026Hapoel Petah Tikva 0–1 Hapoel Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
- 11 April 2026Hapoel Petah Tikva 0–0 Hapoel Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
- 6 December 2025Hapoel Tel Aviv 4–0 Hapoel Petah TikvaLigat Ha'al
- 22 July 2025Hapoel Petah Tikva 1–2 Hapoel Tel AvivToto Cup Ligat Al
- 11 April 2025Hapoel Tel Aviv 0–0 Hapoel Petah TikvaLiga Leumit
Leading scorers: Hapoel Tel Aviv and Hapoel Petah Tikva
Hapoel Tel Aviv
GoalsAssists
- E. Boateng32
- D. Owusu31
- O. Altman30
Hapoel Petah Tikva
No player in Ligat Ha'al's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Hapoel Tel Aviv beat Hapoel Petah Tikva 3–0. The model had made a win for Hapoel Tel Aviv its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Emmanuel Boateng 10' for Hapoel Tel Aviv, Chico 17' for Hapoel Tel Aviv, Or Israelov (own goal) 55' for Hapoel Tel Aviv. Sent off: Kimvuidi Keikie Karim (Hapoel Petah Tikva) 42'.
How the call on Hapoel Tel Aviv v Hapoel Petah Tikva has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 42% / 34% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 44% / 31% / 25%: the biggest move is the draw, down 3 points.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv win44%▲ +2
- Draw31%▼ −3
- Hapoel Petah Tikva win25%▲ +1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.