18 September 2026, 15:00 UTC

Uta Arad vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Liga I prediction & result

Arena Francisc Neuman, Arad
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Uta Arad 1-0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Uta Arad, 28% draw, 24% Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe — fair odds of 2.08, 3.57 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Uta Arad at 48% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Uta Arad5%Draw92%Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

7'
Alin Dobrosavlevici
45'
🔁Robert Silaghiout: Victor Daguin
45'
🔁Nacho Herasout: Boris Cmiljanić
55'
🔁Carl·Davordzieout: B. Oteliță
60'
Victor Daguin
🔁Marinos Tzionisout: omar sawy el
63'
🔁Jayson Papeauout: Ismet Sinani
63'
68'
🔁Hunor. Batzulaout: Raul Cîmpean
72'
🔁Cascardo Gustavoout: Bogdan Ilie Vătăjelu
🔁Din Alomerovicout: robert badescu
88'
⚽Andrei Dorobantu
90+1'

Match stats — Uta Arad vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

52%Possession48%
28Shots10
9On target2
13Corners4

Line-ups

Uta Arad 4-2-3-1
  • 1Márcio RosaG
  • 2A. DorobanțuD
  • 15P. OuanehD
  • 4A. BengaD
  • 3S. AlomeroviсD
  • 5S. MinoM
  • 8A. RomanM
  • 11H. AbdallahM
  • 77J. PapeauM
  • 10M. TzionisM
  • 9M. ComanF
Substitutes
  • 20Denis TaroiM
  • 33A. GorceaG
  • 22R. BădescuD
  • 14S. GueuletteM
  • 42O. El SawyM
  • 7Ismet SinaniF
  • 21A. TolceaF
  • 6A. IvanovM
Coach: A. Mihalcea
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 4-3-3
  • 91D. LazarG
  • 2CascardoD
  • 21A. DobrosavleviciD
  • 4S. KaramokoD
  • 3Fábio ViannaD
  • 7R. SilaghiM
  • 6N. PăunM
  • 17D. AndreiM
  • 20Nacho HerasF
  • 88C. DavordzieF
  • 23Hunor BatzulaF
Substitutes
  • 28V. DaguinM
  • 19G. GhimfușM
  • 33S. GyengeG
  • 30Á. NistorM
  • 25B. OtelițăD
  • 82D. VîrtejD
  • 5B. VătăjeluD
  • 27Raul CîmpeanF
  • 77A. AganovićM
Coach: O. Burcă

Form going into Uta Arad vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

Uta Arad

Liga I

  • L2-4away to Farul Constanta11 September 2026

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

Liga I

  • W3-1CFR 1907 Cluj12 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Uta Arad135351617-118
12Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe13355818-1014

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Uta Arad vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

  • 18 April 2025Uta Arad 1–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
  • 24 February 2025Uta Arad 1–2 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
  • 19 October 2024Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1–0 Uta AradLiga I
  • 27 January 2024Uta Arad 2–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
  • 4 September 2023Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1–0 Uta AradLiga I

Leading scorers: Uta Arad and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

Uta Arad

GoalsAssists

  • M. Coman50

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Uta Arad beat Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Uta Arad at 48%. The goal: Andrei Dorobantu 90+1' for Uta Arad.

How the call on Uta Arad v Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe has moved

First published on 5 Sep at 39% / 32% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 9 updates, it read 48% / 28% / 24%: the biggest move is Uta Arad's chance of winning, up 9 points.

  1. Uta Arad win48%▲ +9
  2. Draw28%▼ −4
  3. Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe win24%▼ −5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.